Democrats, Are you Panicked for the Senate? (Poll)

[Young Conservative]

[swf541]

No

[Figueira]

I think it's close to 50/50,with a slight Democratic advantage. It will come down to New Hampshire.

[Xing]

Panicked? No. I'm a bit uneasy, though I think they'll end up with 50-52 seats. While IN is looking worse, I don't think Bayh's totally done yet, and I still think the Democrats will win at least one of MO/NH/NC, if not more.

[Mr. Smith]

I gave up long ago on Dems chances, all they've done since 2012 (with the Hail Mary called Louisiana Gubernatorial) is snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

[Miles]

Going into this cycle, I wasn't expecting them to retake it until 2020. That said, I'm starting to feel a bit frustrated.

[The Other Castro]

IL, PA, and WI are my most comfortable ones at the moment, with NV on the fringes of ease. At that point it's just one of NH, NC, MO, and IN. NH feels like pickup #4, and after that I just have no idea. These all seem very close and could go either way.

[PAK Man]

Illinois, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will flip for sure. New Hampshire I believe will be next, since Hassan has been polling well there recently.

Now it gets tricky. I think Indiana will go Bayh in the end, though probably by a narrower margin than initially expected. North Carolina and Missouri are more of a challenge. I believe both will be close, but I think NC is more likely to go blue than Missouri. I can easily see a Kay Hagan-type situation happening there, with Burr leading in many polls and then narrowly losing.

[Orser67]

I feel reasonably confident in three states (WI, IL, and PA) and I think Democrats are also slightly favored in NH and NV. NC, IN, MO, and FL are all still winnable as well. So I actually think that Democrats are favored.

I really hope that they win five seats though, since they could lose control of the Senate after the November 2017 VA special election to replace Kaine.

[smoltchanov]

Not a Democrat (committed Indie), and thus - not panicking, but amazed about Democratic ability to lose all that's possible (and something that seemed impossible) in the last 1-2 weeks of campaign. In 2014 most Democrats were convinced 2 weeks before the election that they will hold the Senate, but they lost it rather convincingly: 46 - 54. Only couple of days back Democrats were sure of winning Indiana, and "rather sure" - about Missouri and North Carolina, now most polls (and sites, like 538) give advantage to Republicans there, and Democratic chances to get even 50-50 majority in Senate (+ VP as tiebreaker) become rather problematic. Even Presidential result (sorry for offtopic) became very problematic too. And that's - against Trump, the most flawed Republican candidate i remember (and i remember all of them since 1964)!!. Democrats even managed to nominate for President almost as flawed candidate as Trump, who would lose to anybody, but Trump (and, may be, Cruz) rather convincigly. Well done, my Democratic brothers!

I wouldn't even comment about Republican idiocies (like nominating Trump) here, but Democrats have nothing to be proud of in this year ultradirty campaign with two extremely unpopular candidates either. BOTH parties are worthy only strong kick in the ass after November 8th...

[Ogre Mage]

Not panicked, but definitely nervous.  I feel much more confident about the Presidential race and would bet money that Clinton will win.  I think our chances of taking back the U.S. Senate are above 50%, but I would not be putting money on it.

That said, I think we are likely to get to 50 at least because I believe Cortez Masto is going to hold NV.  Our pickups for sure are IL (Duckworth), WI (Feingold) and PA (McGinty).  I think NH (Hassan) will make it 50.

So that leaves Indiana, North Carolina and Missouri.  Those are all too close to call.  The optimist in me hopes we will get two of the three.  If we have to lose one of them I am not a fan of Evan Bayh.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Honestly, it's annoying that Republicans aren't overwhelmingly feeling the repercussions at the top of the ticket in each competitive race. It reinforces the notion that no matter how dysfunctional their party becomes on a national level, people will still contemplate voting them into congressional offices to continue uninhibited obstructionism.

Not getting swept out of each remotely competitive race allows them to move on from the Trump debacle without a second thought about what went wrong and what they need to do to fix their operating agenda. Why bother fixing anything when they can always override slim Democratic majorities during mid-term elections?

[Blackacre]

Yes, but thats because Im always panicked about everything. Dont mind me

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yea, but either way Dems have paths to win senate with IL, WI, CO, NH and NV plus either IN or PA. And a 51st seat in LA or NC. So, Dems are still very much in it to win the Senate.

[Torie]

It's a total tossup in the Senate.

[Zioneer]

Not nervous, I think we'll get at least 50-50, 51-49, or 52-48.

[President Johnson]

Yes, becuase President Clinton will need it. I'm concerned that Illinois and Wisconsin will be the only Democratic pickups.

[Blair]

I am now- Bayh seems like a write off, Murphy got his money cut off in exchange for a wild goose chase, and even Wisconin isn't a lockup

The best chance now for a majority is IL, WI, PA, NC and NH