Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 20, 2017, 03:56:55 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | |-+  Loras-Iowa: CLINTON +1
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: Loras-Iowa: CLINTON +1  (Read 1979 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40677
Dominica


View Profile
« on: November 05, 2016, 10:59:52 am »
Ignore

http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-trump-tight-race-iowa-grassley-young-blum-leads-loras-college-poll-finds/

Clinton 44
Trump 43
Johnson 3
Stein 3

WOW!
Logged

fuck nazis
Devout Centrist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4513
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.45, S: -10.00

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 11:00:59 am »
Ignore

Junk

But if they're right, LOLras is no laughing matter.
Logged

You are so partial that your opinion is worth little.
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6553
United States


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 11:01:10 am »
Ignore

lolras
Logged
Yank2133
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3337


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 11:01:22 am »
Ignore

BS.

Trump is likely up 2-3, but it will be close.
Logged
heatcharger 🌹‏
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3450
Greenland


Political Matrix
E: -1.54, S: -1.94

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 11:01:56 am »
Ignore

How hilarious would it be if Selzer shows the same thing lol
Logged

Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40677
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 11:02:08 am »
Ignore

I mean, obviously Loras is not a good poll, but their methodology seems sound. I'd certainly trust a live-caller, voter-list poll with close to even mix of landline and cell phone to whatever Emerson does.

Also note that Trump will be campaigning in Iowa this weekend...
Logged

fuck nazis
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14297
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2016, 11:02:28 am »
Ignore

One point movement towards Clinton since late September. They've been quite a bit to the left of most pollsters in IA. Like, 5-6 points left.
Logged
BoAtlantis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 727


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 11:03:11 am »
Ignore

lol I can only dream it's true
Logged
dfwlibertylover
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2518
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 11:03:43 am »
Ignore

good thing we have the DMR poll tonight at 7
Logged

heatcharger 🌹‏
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3450
Greenland


Political Matrix
E: -1.54, S: -1.94

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2016, 11:04:05 am »
Ignore

Quinnipiac showed a tied race before Comey-gate, and Emerson is absolute trash, so I'm quite interested in this Selzer poll tonight.
Logged

john cage bubblegum
Full Member
***
Posts: 237


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

P
View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2016, 11:04:51 am »
Ignore

This is just like a teaser for the real poll of Iowa coming tonight.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14605
United States


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 11:05:05 am »
Ignore

Relevant:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=239884.0
Logged

2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
Donnie
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 335


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2016, 11:06:02 am »
Ignore

good thing we have the DMR poll tonight at 7

Can't wait. DMR is by far the best for Iowa.
Logged
Devout Centrist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4513
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.45, S: -10.00

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2016, 11:06:45 am »
Ignore

I will say that if Loras somehow is right and Selzer is off again, Iowa is a hard state to poll Trump in.
Logged

You are so partial that your opinion is worth little.
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10056
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2016, 11:13:34 am »
Ignore

Senate numbers seem reasonable, Grassley +16.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6553
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2016, 11:15:09 am »
Ignore

They actually have favorable numbers for the incumbent Republican congresscritters, so they might actually be right. We'll see on election day.
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3237
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2016, 11:20:40 am »

New Poll: Iowa President by Loras College on 2016-11-03

Summary: D: 44%, R: 43%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
xīngkěruì
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11257
Taiwan


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2016, 11:30:29 am »
Ignore

I don't see why Clinton winning by one is such an implausible result. Yes, this if LOLras, so of course this particular poll isn't to be trusted, but I really don't buy Iowa being Safe Trump.
Logged

Ozymandias
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 471


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2016, 11:30:44 am »
Ignore

Clinton once again dominating the early vote:

http://www.loras.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/LCP-NOV-IA-2016.pdf

Of the 26.2% (131/500) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton = 57% (69/121)
Trump = 29% (35/121)
Other = 9% (11/121)
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8953
Italy


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2016, 11:34:32 am »
Ignore

Clinton should almost certainly be a slight favorite here. This or Arizona will probably be the closest state.
Logged

Fashion. Football. Furniture Shopping



20:41   Classic   I think we need to abort any babies with autism so we won't end up with more people like smilo in our society

[9:01 PM] retromike22: no offense.... but I have occasionally realized that it is easier to understand your emotions and actions if I think it's a girl making those choices
alomas
Full Member
***
Posts: 185
View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2016, 11:47:15 am »
Ignore

Clinton should almost certainly be a slight favorite here. This or Arizona will probably be the closest state.
Based on what? The same poll showed her +14 ahead in June! Also, do you really believe there is a 28(!)-point difference in favourability? I wouldn't be surprised they are doing this based on 2012 turnout numbers.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14156
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2016, 11:48:10 am »
Ignore

Loras makes Emerson look good.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3673
Sweden


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2016, 12:10:48 pm »
Ignore

Loras makes Emerson look good.
Logged

“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
rafta_rafta
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 923


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2016, 12:14:37 pm »
Ignore

Any good pollsters in the field in Iowa now?
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14297
United States


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2016, 12:15:16 pm »
Ignore

Any good pollsters in the field in Iowa now?

Des Moines Register. That's the "cream of the crop" poll. Coming out tonight.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines