Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 16, 2019, 06:03:19 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: New features added! Click here for more information. Click here to configure new features.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  PA-Muhlenberg College: Clinton +6/+4
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: PA-Muhlenberg College: Clinton +6/+4  (Read 2535 times)
john cage bubblegum
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 362


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2016, 02:27:17 pm »

Clinton will be fine in PA. The freiwal is safe.

I agree.
It's the New Hampshire brick in the wall, that has me worried.

Fortunately NV will replace NH in the freiwal if need be.  Although I believe Clinton will win NH, recent polls there are a bit concerning.

The freiwal really is comforting in these final anxious days of the campaign.
Logged
rafta_rafta
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 930


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2016, 02:50:11 pm »

The friewal just got 5 feet higher
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,597
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2016, 03:56:10 pm »

Moo Linberg College underestimated Obama twice in their final poll by 4 and 3 points.  This is Safe for Hillary. 
Logged



Registering for Atlas After Dark is a can of corn!
http://atlasafterdark.freeforums.net/
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,425
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2016, 03:57:59 pm »

So McGinty is either running 7 points behind Clinton or even with her, depending on the poll.

Heads will roll in the polling industry this year.

5 points behind - use the four way numbers please.

...no?

Johnson and Stein will probably get half of their polling numbers by election day.

Historically, what Third Parties get in the polls in the last few days is about what they get on election day, give or take a point.
Logged

Hammy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,636
United States


View Profile WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2016, 04:04:38 pm »

Looks about right.

Hillary should win PA by between 1-5%.

It could also be relatively close in the end.

Or relatively big in the end, closer to 10%.

It is tender, he is sworn by oath to throw shade at Clinton.

No, I'm just cautious in my predictions because the polls are relatively close in most swing states and the polls were pretty crappy in 2014 and this year (primaries) and other countries.

Once you throw a midterm year in as comparison with a presidential year, your whole argument is void.
Logged

click to read my comics!



Never Bloomberg/Biden/Harris/Gabbard/Warren.
Say no to third party challengers.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,565
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 06, 2016, 03:34:56 am »

So McGinty is either running 7 points behind Clinton or even with her, depending on the poll.

Heads will roll in the polling industry this year.

5 points behind - use the four way numbers please.

...no?

Johnson and Stein will probably get half of their polling numbers by election day.

Historically, what Third Parties get in the polls in the last few days is about what they get on election day, give or take a point.

"give or take half of Stein's voting share"

Also, you're wrong. In 2008 Nader polled at 2.3% and Barr polled at 1.5%. They got 0.6% and 0.4%.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 03:37:43 am by IceSpear »Logged

Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines