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Author Topic: PA-Muhlenberg College/Morning Call: Toomey +1  (Read 2726 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: November 05, 2016, 01:44:17 pm »

Toomey - 43%
McGinty - 42%

Poll conducted over October 30-Nov 4

http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-poll-trump-clinton-toomey-mcginty-20161105-story.html
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:21 pm »

Way too many undecideds. I can't find any crosstabs, but I'm sure if they pushed leaners it would be different.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:31 pm »

Regardless of who wins this race, I think it will take a long time until we know who controls the Senate. Going to be an interesting election night.

With so many close Senate/gubernatorial races, I wonder if there will be a recount somewhere.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:38 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 01:48:20 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

OR, you know, maybe with a 3 point McGinty lead you'll get a poll every now and then showing her trailing.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 01:49:38 pm »

They last had the race tied, so hardly a huge change from this pollster. McGinty should narrowly win.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2016, 01:50:38 pm »

McGinty is going to pull it out.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 01:52:46 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 01:53:54 pm »

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2016, 01:57:34 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.
It's not a Solid D state. I'd say only "Tilt D" for now.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2016, 01:59:48 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 02:01:08 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2016, 02:24:41 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Troll.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2016, 02:30:49 pm »

What is the percentage of undecideds in this poll?  If I had to guess, I'd say most of them are Democrats or Dem-leaners, and will probably break towards Clinton in the end.
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No Quid Pro Quo Unless Sondland Says So
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2016, 02:55:15 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2016, 04:09:07 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.
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No Quid Pro Quo Unless Sondland Says So
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2016, 06:33:02 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2016, 06:42:00 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)
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No Quid Pro Quo Unless Sondland Says So
jdb
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2016, 08:38:04 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.
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Mangez des pommes !
Antonio V
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2016, 08:41:18 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.

That's not what the latest polls say. Sure, the polls might underestimate Democratic support, but I would rather not need to rely on that.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #20 on: November 23, 2016, 08:16:22 am »

New gold standard for PA!
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