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Author Topic: PA-Muhlenberg College/Morning Call: Toomey +1  (Read 2051 times)
Castro
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« on: November 05, 2016, 01:44:17 pm »

Toomey - 43%
McGinty - 42%

Poll conducted over October 30-Nov 4

http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-poll-trump-clinton-toomey-mcginty-20161105-story.html
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:21 pm »

Way too many undecideds. I can't find any crosstabs, but I'm sure if they pushed leaners it would be different.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:31 pm »

Regardless of who wins this race, I think it will take a long time until we know who controls the Senate. Going to be an interesting election night.

With so many close Senate/gubernatorial races, I wonder if there will be a recount somewhere.
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 01:45:38 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
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Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 01:48:20 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?

OR, you know, maybe with a 3 point McGinty lead you'll get a poll every now and then showing her trailing.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 01:49:38 pm »

They last had the race tied, so hardly a huge change from this pollster. McGinty should narrowly win.
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2016, 01:50:38 pm »

McGinty is going to pull it out.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 01:52:46 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.
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fuck nazis
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 01:53:54 pm »

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2016, 01:57:34 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Why the hell would solid blue Pennsylvania reject Schumer to keep McConnell? It's like you get dumber by the day dude.
It's not a Solid D state. I'd say only "Tilt D" for now.
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Endorsements:
AZ-SEN: Martha McSally
FL-SEN: Rick Scott
IN-SEN: Mike Braun
MI-SEN: John James
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley
MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale
NV-SEN: Dean Heller
OH-SEN: Jim Renacci
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
TN-SEN: Marsha Blackburn
TX-SEN: Ted Cruz
WV-SEN: Patrick Morrisey
FL-GOV: Ron DeSantis
OH-GOV: Mike DeWine
TX-GOV: Greg Abbott
WI-GOV: Scott Walker
NH-GOV: Molly Kelly
NH-02: Annie Kuster
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2016, 01:59:48 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 02:01:08 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2016, 02:24:41 pm »

Oh my god.....Is it happening?!? Is PA standing up and rejecting the prospect of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer?!?
Troll.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2016, 02:30:49 pm »

What is the percentage of undecideds in this poll?  If I had to guess, I'd say most of them are Democrats or Dem-leaners, and will probably break towards Clinton in the end.
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« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2016, 02:55:15 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...
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Have you not heard of the legend of the player who once burnt down King's Landing along with most of Houses Tyrell and Lannister? Have you not heard of the menace who led the White Walkers into invading the North and committing genocide in Westeros? Or the man whose actions planted the seeds for the Revolution in Poland-Lithuania? And the man who dared to burn Rome, Avignon and Jerusalem?
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Antonio V
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2016, 04:09:07 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2016, 06:33:02 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.
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Have you not heard of the legend of the player who once burnt down King's Landing along with most of Houses Tyrell and Lannister? Have you not heard of the menace who led the White Walkers into invading the North and committing genocide in Westeros? Or the man whose actions planted the seeds for the Revolution in Poland-Lithuania? And the man who dared to burn Rome, Avignon and Jerusalem?
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Antonio V
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2016, 06:42:00 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)
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"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2016, 08:38:04 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.
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Have you not heard of the legend of the player who once burnt down King's Landing along with most of Houses Tyrell and Lannister? Have you not heard of the menace who led the White Walkers into invading the North and committing genocide in Westeros? Or the man whose actions planted the seeds for the Revolution in Poland-Lithuania? And the man who dared to burn Rome, Avignon and Jerusalem?
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Antonio V
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2016, 08:41:18 pm »

Haha.

Oh f**k this. It was the one race that actually showed some movement in the right direction.

What's gotten into you lately? Jesus.

I just like my odds of ending Hillary's term with 2+ unfilled Supreme Court vacancies to be better than 50-50. Is that too much to ask?

They already are...

Note that we probably need more than a 50-50-Kaine majority to be able to go nuclear. We're not safe unless we reach 52, and the current numbers make this very unlikely.

We should hit 51, at least.

That requires picking one of MO, NC and IN - all of which we're likely trailing right now.

(the most frustrating one being NC, because if AA turnout had been holding its ground compared to 2012, Ross would likely pull it off)

I think we win IN; Missouri's a pure tossup and Burr probably has only the slightest of edges.

That's not what the latest polls say. Sure, the polls might underestimate Democratic support, but I would rather not need to rely on that.
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"In the end, the world we live in is in darkness."
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Noir, episode 26
DavidB.
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« Reply #20 on: November 23, 2016, 08:16:22 am »

New gold standard for PA!
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