Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 15, 2019, 01:42:48 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 Print
Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 13693 times)
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,773
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 05, 2016, 07:04:48 pm »

Trump - 46%
Clinton - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 1%

Poll conducted Nov 1-4.

Quote
At first glance, the early vote offers a bright spot for Clinton, where she enjoys a 22-point advantage over Trump. That’s a testament to her campaign’s heavy focus on banking votes during Iowa’s 40-day early vote period. But the data indicate it will not be enough to overcome Trump's support.

Voters who have already cast their ballots represent 34 percent of poll respondents. Among the remaining two-thirds of respondents who haven’t voted but plan to, Trump leads by 21 percentage points, 53-32.

Among other groups, meanwhile, Clinton’s lead is significantly lower than the advantage she enjoys nationally. She holds just a 3-point lead among women, for example, a demographic Democrats have been banking on to reject Trump and lift Clinton and one that she leads by a dozen or more points in national polls.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/?hootPostID=244ad51ae6af519614281eb8c6904b90
« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 07:09:30 pm by Castro »Logged
dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 07:05:39 pm »

Iowa's gone to the dark side
Logged
BoAtlantis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 791


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 07:05:48 pm »

As expected
Logged
nirvanayoda
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 89


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 07:05:57 pm »

BOOM!
Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,356
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 07:06:01 pm »

Good lord.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Lok
lok1999
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,236
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.64, S: -2.65

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 07:06:27 pm »

WELP!
Logged

A Liberal LGBT.

JOIN THE DISCORD!!!
https://discord.gg/7kKvzqT
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2016, 07:06:37 pm »

Bye Iowa, hello North Carolina.
Logged
Classic Conservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,667
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 07:06:43 pm »

PRAISE THE LORD!!
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,841
United States
P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 07:06:46 pm »

Holy moly guacamole.

Looks like Iowa is the new Missouri.
Logged

Born, raised, and currently residing in Southern California
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,495
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2016, 07:07:33 pm »

Never expected her to win here.
Logged

Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,343
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2016, 07:07:39 pm »

Iowa's gone to the dark side

Yes. But, if true, this means that OH and PA are going Iowa's way for sure and MI is following closely.
Logged
rafta_rafta
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 930


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2016, 07:07:47 pm »

game over in Iowa
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2016, 07:07:57 pm »

PRAISE THE LORD!!

Why?

We dont need and weren't counting on Iowa.
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,592


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2016, 07:08:19 pm »

Expected.
Logged

E -1.84
S -7.78
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2016, 07:08:35 pm »

Horrible state. Let's hope Democrats never hold their first primary/caucus there ever again.
Logged

fuck nazis
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,773
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2016, 07:08:43 pm »

Quote
The poll shows younger voters are less likely to identify as Democrats, something that stands in contrast to the last two elections.  The youth vote was the backbone of the Obama coalition in Iowa, and he won by a large margin among voters under age 35 in 2008. The final Iowa poll ahead of the 2008 election showed 33 percent of those under age 35 identified as Democrats, 26 percent as Republicans, and 38 percent as independents. In this poll, 36 percent identify as independent, 32 percent Republican and just 25 percent Democratic.
Logged
Elizabeth Warren 2020
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,094
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2016, 07:08:50 pm »

Iowa's gone to the dark side

Yes. But, if true, this means that OH and PA are going Iowa's way for sure and MI is following closely.


No. Philly suburbs are changing PA from a rust belt state to part of the solid northeast.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,872
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2016, 07:09:00 pm »

It won't be 7 but a 2-4% Trump win sounds right.
Logged
QE
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 65
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2016, 07:09:44 pm »

Damn.

Well, I will give Selzer the benefit of the doubt and say this is a good indicator that Iowa is probably Lean Trump now, but if she fudges up this result like she did with the Iowa Caucuses, then she'll take a major hit in credibility (in my book at least).  
Logged
Snek!
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,933
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2016, 07:10:02 pm »

Even at the height of the Clinton boom, he was up 4. This is bad but no surprises.
Logged

Oakvale
oakvale
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,660
Ireland, Republic of
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2016, 07:10:07 pm »

How stupid are the people of Iowa?!
Logged
calvinhobbesliker
Rookie
*
Posts: 33


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2016, 07:10:12 pm »

Quote
The poll shows younger voters are less likely to identify as Democrats, something that stands in contrast to the last two elections.  The youth vote was the backbone of the Obama coalition in Iowa, and he won by a large margin among voters under age 35 in 2008. The final Iowa poll ahead of the 2008 election showed 33 percent of those under age 35 identified as Democrats, 26 percent as Republicans, and 38 percent as independents. In this poll, 36 percent identify as independent, 32 percent Republican and just 25 percent Democratic.

Consistent with the school poll where Iowa was the only blue state to go red.
Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2016, 07:10:39 pm »

The sad truth about Iowa... http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/education/2015/05/10/iowa-student-brain-drain/26999519/
Logged

What this election has revealed to me is that our American political factions hold no respect for one another, and that this disrespect has reached the personal level. If we make it through the next four years, I can only pray that our party does something to remedy this, because until we have removed all of our "deplorable" rhetoric from our systems, this nation is hopeless.
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2016, 07:11:20 pm »

Holy f**k

Logged

“People have forgotten this truth," the fox said. "But you mustn’t forget it. You become responsible forever for what you’ve tamed. You’re responsible for your rose.”
swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,149


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2016, 07:11:23 pm »

She was way off in the primary lets see how off she is in the general. Trump should win iowa though
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines