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  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 15755 times)
Arch
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« Reply #75 on: November 05, 2016, 07:46:12 pm »

To be sure if this is an indicator of a Trump swing in the mid west, we need a quality poll from Wisconsin.


Marquette: Clinton 46, Trump 40

It's okay. Let them blind themselves if it makes them feel better. Iowa was already going anyways.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #76 on: November 05, 2016, 07:46:42 pm »

Notice Minnesota is the biggest correlating state though...
?
OH, WI an MI are.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #77 on: November 05, 2016, 07:49:19 pm »

I do take issue with Selzer's likely voter model which seems to help Trump so I do think she's got the margin wrong.
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henster
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« Reply #78 on: November 05, 2016, 07:50:06 pm »

I don't think IA is gone, Ds have ran pretty crappy candidates lately Braley now Clinton who had no appeal there. If Harkin ran for re-election he would've won easily if Biden were the nominee IA would be lean D.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #79 on: November 05, 2016, 07:50:46 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.
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Donnie
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« Reply #80 on: November 05, 2016, 07:51:38 pm »

Trump is dominating with White working class voters, his trade rhetoric is music to blue collar workers ears in midwestern states.

Amen.
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #81 on: November 05, 2016, 07:53:03 pm »

Motherf***er. I thought Iowa was better than that. That state and its voters should be ashamed.
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Mangez des pommes !
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« Reply #82 on: November 05, 2016, 07:53:33 pm »

That's ridiculous.
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« Reply #83 on: November 05, 2016, 07:54:09 pm »

-Trump ahead in IA as it has been the case for months.-

Trump Supporters: SEE GUYS!? WI, MN, MI, PA ARE IN PLAY NOW. Good grief.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #84 on: November 05, 2016, 07:55:10 pm »

So we probably know why Bill Clinton is coming to Michigan.

That or... you know, election day turnout matters. But wha'evs.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #85 on: November 05, 2016, 07:55:24 pm »

FWIW, Trump has cancelled his Wisconsin event.
I guess that's because it's safe R now.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #86 on: November 05, 2016, 07:56:49 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.

Disgusting new low.

Grow a pair.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #87 on: November 05, 2016, 07:57:25 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.
Sounds like someone has the deplorable fever!
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Yank2133
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« Reply #88 on: November 05, 2016, 07:58:31 pm »

-Trump ahead in IA as it has been the case for months.-

Trump Supporters: SEE GUYS!? WI, MN, MI, PA ARE IN PLAY NOW. Good grief.

Funny thing is this argument works both ways. I guess Iowa is still in play due to Clinton being up in WI, MN, MI, and PA. 
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indietraveler
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« Reply #89 on: November 05, 2016, 07:59:24 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.

This is a pretty gross comment--and I'm someone who is typically democrat.

Anyways, this isn't too shocking, part of it is Clinton just isn't a good fit for this state. I don't buy into the whole "Iowa is now so far right" theory. Would we be seeing this same result if it was Biden, Sanders..hell, even Warren running against Trump? Hillary is just really not liked here.

Still holding out hope here, I always said if it was close I thought the tie would go to Clinton, but +7 is a solid lead for Trump.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #90 on: November 05, 2016, 08:01:22 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.

Disgusting new low.
Agreed. Iowa has been stagnating, and younger, educated people have been leaving the state, but calling them "inbred" is just totally out of line. Leave that kind of rhetoric to Trump.
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ReapSow
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« Reply #91 on: November 05, 2016, 08:02:01 pm »

Trump sheep excited about Iowa? That's when you know they're drowning and gasping for air.
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morgieb
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« Reply #92 on: November 05, 2016, 08:03:10 pm »

HOW


STUPID



ARE


THE


PEOPLE


OF






IOWA?Huh?!!!?Huh
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #93 on: November 05, 2016, 08:05:13 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.

Disgusting new low.

Grow a pair.
Do you love Akon by the way? I do.

My favorite chorus from Akon - Ghetto https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2nO86ZTs8I

Quote
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It reminds me of something. I of course mean Iowa. Iowa is like a ghetto, right?
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Scott🦋
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« Reply #94 on: November 05, 2016, 08:08:08 pm »

Why are Trumpies jerking off to this?  They're not close anywhere in the firewall.  I guess there is something symbolic about winning inbred corn farmers in the same way it is winning inbred miners.

Disgusting new low.

#triggered

(I don't particularly care for HD's comments, but the political correctness on this site goes too far imo)
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RalstonSucks
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« Reply #95 on: November 05, 2016, 08:09:31 pm »

you know if he is up 7 in iowa, he can't be that far back in WI, MI
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #96 on: November 05, 2016, 08:10:06 pm »


I realize that it's heresy to question Selzer but this sample seems very, very off.
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« Reply #97 on: November 05, 2016, 08:10:40 pm »

you know if he is up 7 in iowa, he can't be that far back in WI, MI

About 10 points behind. Don't worry. It'll be ultra close Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #98 on: November 05, 2016, 08:11:42 pm »


I realize that it's heresy to question Selzer but this sample seems very, very off.

They use voter file, so the shares of registred R/D/I should be correct.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #99 on: November 05, 2016, 08:12:45 pm »

His lead among independents is identical to statewide? That looks yuuuuugely suspect. Perhaps Iowa's Westvirginification isn't quite complete yet... then again I'm not one to unskew, but I'd like to know this pollster's methodology.
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