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November 12, 2019, 11:46:01 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 15767 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: November 05, 2016, 07:04:48 pm »
« edited: November 05, 2016, 07:09:30 pm by Castro »

Trump - 46%
Clinton - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 1%

Poll conducted Nov 1-4.

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http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/?hootPostID=244ad51ae6af519614281eb8c6904b90
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 07:08:43 pm »

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 07:19:15 pm »

The Trump-Cruz margin in their final caucus poll was off by more than 8 points, so it's possible she doesn't have as good a read on Iowa anymore. That said, it was a caucus and much harder to predict than a general election race. Then again, one could argue Trump underpeformed so much in Iowa because of his lack of groundgame, which could be present in the general election as well. Bottom line, I'm not going to count on this poll being wrong, and I'm chalking this up to a Trump win in my prediction.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 07:24:44 pm »

God Bless Iowa! I hope they remain in the Republican column for future elections.

I'll gladly trade Iowa for North Carolina any day.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: November 11, 2016, 07:34:21 pm »

So I guess this is pretty much the only gold standard left.
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