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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 14211 times)
heatcharger
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Posts: 4,158
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Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: November 05, 2016, 07:26:21 pm »

It won't be 7 but a 2-4% Trump win sounds right.

I think Selzer is overestimating Trump support again, but yeah:

Horrible state. Let's hope Democrats never hold their first primary/caucus there ever again.

Also it'd be pretty dumb to try to extrapolate the status of other midwestern states based off of Iowa.
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heatcharger
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Posts: 4,158
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 07:36:35 pm »

To be sure if this is an indicator of a Trump swing in the mid west, we need a quality poll from Wisconsin.


We just did from Marquette and PPP showing Clinton up 6 and 7 respectively. Again, Iowa is more like the Great Plains than it is the Midwest.

Anyone have crosstabs yet?
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heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,158
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 09:20:27 pm »

Virginia on the other hand turned from a gay-bashin' redneck hellhole with awful hawkish GWB fans in NoVA into an enlightened educated cosmopolitian state in 2006. Smiley

If you lived here, you'd know that's pretty much exactly what happened. No need to be facetious about Virginia's evolution since the 90s.

Anyways, yes, the white working class that's gonna vote Obama/Trump probably also fell for Dubya's "charisma" and dreamed about having a beer with him.
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