NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,449
|
 |
« on: November 05, 2016, 09:27:51 PM » |
|
Ok... this polling thread has once again descended into the cesspool with many of the comments here.
All being said, isn't the Des Moines Register poll run by Seltzer & Co considered to be the "Gold Standard" of Iowa polling similar to Marquette in Wisconsin?
I think everyone here can agree, it looks like Trump will likely win Iowa, regardless of the final margins, and EV numbers seem to indicate a drop-off in Democratic enthusiasm from the Obama era, where he did quite well as a Mid-West Democrat in a state where George Jr. won in 2004.
It will be interesting to watch trends in 2020 if Republicans nominate a candidate that is not a protectionist on trade related issues, and is an interventionist on foreign policy issues, to see if Iowa swings back towards the Democratic Party.
Iowa voters are frequently dovish on foreign policy and protectionist on economic policy, and Clinton's brand going back to 2008 doesn't resonate the same way that Obama's has, and Trump has certainly muddied the waters of the "traditional Republican" policies on these overall attitudes.
|
