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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7  (Read 14089 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: November 05, 2016, 07:15:18 pm »

Quote
The poll shows younger voters are less likely to identify as Democrats, something that stands in contrast to the last two elections.  The youth vote was the backbone of the Obama coalition in Iowa, and he won by a large margin among voters under age 35 in 2008. The final Iowa poll ahead of the 2008 election showed 33 percent of those under age 35 identified as Democrats, 26 percent as Republicans, and 38 percent as independents. In this poll, 36 percent identify as independent, 32 percent Republican and just 25 percent Democratic.

That's strange or at least worth analyzing.

P.S. For all those talking about Clinton campaigning in Michigan, Trump will campaign in Iowa tomorrow.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 07:55:24 pm »

FWIW, Trump has cancelled his Wisconsin event.
I guess that's because it's safe R now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 09:29:33 pm »

So either A) Marquette will be wildly off this cycle, B) Selzer will be wildly off this cycle, or C) Iowa will vote 13 points to the right of Wisconsin.

Would you believe it if they told you in 2008 that Virginia will vote 10 points to the left of West Virginia?
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