Final NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +4/+5 (user search)
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  Final NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +4/+5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Final NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +4/+5  (Read 3090 times)
psychprofessor
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« on: November 06, 2016, 06:05:53 PM »
Pollsters are gonna have egg on their face when they realize the share of the white electorate is not going to revert back to 2004/2008 levels. Back of the hand math has whites at about 75% of the electorate in this poll.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 06:23:22 PM »
Quote from: Little Big BREXIT on November 06, 2016, 06:13:52 PM
Quote from: psychprofessor on November 06, 2016, 06:05:53 PM
Pollsters are gonna have egg on their face when they realize the share of the white electorate is not going to revert back to 2004/2008 levels. Back of the hand math has whites at about 75% of the electorate in this poll.
Huh

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My back of the hand math was pretty good. I think this sample, when you look at other and not sure, is right around 74-75 white, non-hispanic. That number should be around 70 to reflect demographic changes and the early vote electorate.
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