Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 17, 2019, 07:46:12 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  CBS/YouGov: Rubio +3 in FL, Portman +13 in OH (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Rubio +3 in FL, Portman +13 in OH  (Read 1843 times)
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Netherlands


Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13

View Profile
« on: November 06, 2016, 10:13:53 am »

Florida would definitely have (would?) benefited from a massive ad blitz by the DSCC.
At the expense of how many other seats?
Logged

Tomorrow will be a better day
Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
And we'll arrive to a new world
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Netherlands


Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 10:24:04 am »

Flawlesssssssssss... Beautiful.... MARCOOOOOOO!
Logged

Tomorrow will be a better day
Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
And we'll arrive to a new world
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Netherlands


Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 12:55:33 pm »

If Rubio wins by less than 2% while Bayh gets creamed, the DSCC needs to be held over hot coals. Part of it might be inelasticity, since very lopsided results in Florida are rare, and this race was probably going to be within 5-6% anyway, but it's frustrating to think that the DSCC wasted so much money in Indiana, when Florida might have actually been winnable. It is good that they pulled out of Ohio, but they should have done so even sooner.
Always easier to say in hindsight.
Logged

Tomorrow will be a better day
Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
And we'll arrive to a new world
DavidB.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,117
Netherlands


Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 5.13

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 04:42:55 pm »

FBM Purple heart is still going to win easily. If the polls are undersampling Hispanics, this will definitely benefit Hillary, but not Murphy at all.
Not entirely true. Hispanics will still vote for Murphy by a substantial margin, though much smaller than Clinton's will be. If Hispanics are undersampled this means FBM's lead isn't as large as projected, which is what I expect. He will win by 2-3.

I constantly said that the Democrats shouldn't have been so quick to pull out of Florida.
Fair enough.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2016, 04:44:31 pm by DavidB. »Logged

Tomorrow will be a better day
Tomorrow the sun will rise and the moon will set
And we'll arrive to a new world
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines