How does Trump win MI?

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

He doesn't.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

He wins if:
Black turnout drops by 3 percentage points.
The UP, traditionally union democrats, flips to Trump.
And he still will need both a 10-20% increase in independents and then to win independents by 10%.

Since MI has not gone Republican since 1972, the Democratic ground game is much less active here than in other battle ground states, which may allow Trump to bring out more Trump voters without the Democrats bringing out more Democrats

You forgot 1984.

I agree on the substance.

1976

You do realize Reagan carried MI in 1984?

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Bush carried Michigan in 1988.

Jesus, people.

[TC 25]

And Hillary led Bernie by 20.

If black turnout is down, Trump can pull the upset here.

[Lachi]

And Hillary led Bernie by 20.

If black turnout is down, Trump can pull the upset here.

Primaries =/= General Election