How Many Obama states will Trump Carry?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 10:30:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  How Many Obama states will Trump Carry?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: How Many Obama states will Trump Carry?  (Read 3142 times)
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 06, 2016, 11:04:22 AM »
I'd be surprised if he gets any (yes, that includes all the Obama states where he polls well).  What do you think? 

EDIT: While you're at it, feel free to tell us how many McCain and/or Romney states that Hillary will get.
Logged
BaldEagle1991
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,660
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 11:06:09 AM »
Iowa is probably the only likely state in this category.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
evergreen
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 11:08:00 AM »
iowa: lean trump
ohio: pure tossup
all others at least tilt clinton
Logged
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 11:08:10 AM »
Iowa and Ohio.  Possibly North Carolina if you're talking about Obama 2008 states.  NC is really hard to pin down because of all the different factors involved.
Logged
Bismarck
Chancellor
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 11:08:36 AM »
I think he will probably get at least one of Ohio or Iowa.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,722


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 11:09:43 AM »
Obama 2012: Iowa, Ohio, Florida, New Hampshire, Colorado, ME-02
Romney 2012: Nothing
Logged
BaldEagle1991
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,660
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 11:09:57 AM »
Ohio has potential for a Clinton upset.

Iowa is pretty much in Trump territory now.
Logged
Incipimus iterum
1236
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,096
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 11:16:29 AM »
Iowa and maybe Ohio.
Logged
Liberalrocks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,929
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 11:27:07 AM »
« Edited: November 06, 2016, 11:29:13 AM by Liberalrocks »
Iowa to Trump only Obama state. North Carolina to Clinton. Clinton by a whisker in Ohio
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2016, 11:27:30 AM »
Iowa.
Logged
Mallow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 737
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2016, 11:29:40 AM »
« Edited: November 06, 2016, 11:42:06 AM by Mallow »
Quote from: вставай, страна огромная! on November 06, 2016, 11:08:00 AM
iowa: lean trump
ohio: pure tossup
all others at least tilt clinton

EDIT: And ME-02.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,948


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 06, 2016, 11:31:59 AM »
Iowa only.

There's a chance for Ohio to fall his way, but I wouldn't bet on it.

Florida is gone for him.
Logged
Chaddyr23
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 479
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.19, S: -5.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2016, 11:32:24 AM »
2. IA and OH
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 06, 2016, 11:41:26 AM »
Iowa, with a chance at Ohio and/or ME-2.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 06, 2016, 11:45:45 AM »
Iowa, maybe Ohio. He's more likely than not to lose North Carolina.
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 06, 2016, 11:52:59 AM »
Ohio, Iowa, Maine-2. Maybe Nevada and Florida, if the polls are accurate (a big if for both, especially Nevada).
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,645
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 06, 2016, 12:17:29 PM »
Iowa, possibly Ohio. But that's it.
Logged
zorkpolitics
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 06, 2016, 12:48:47 PM »
Iowa and Ohio most likely.  Reasonable chance he also gets Florida.
Logged
andrew_c
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 454
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2016, 02:14:16 PM »
Only Iowa.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2016, 02:22:41 PM »
« Edited: November 06, 2016, 02:24:21 PM by Secretary of Internal Affairs 1184AZ »
At the most 1 (Iowa, withing 2 points either way), I don't think he will come all that close to winning ME-2, NH or Nevada, and will loose Florida and Ohio by  2-4 points.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2016, 06:24:06 PM »
Quote from: High Information Voter on November 06, 2016, 11:08:10 AM
Possibly North Carolina if you're talking about Obama 2008 states.  NC is really hard to pin down because of all the different factors involved.
And Indiana, if you include 2008.  But that will only be because of having Pence as his running mate.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
evergreen
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 06, 2016, 06:28:08 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on November 06, 2016, 06:24:06 PM
Quote from: High Information Voter on November 06, 2016, 11:08:10 AM
Possibly North Carolina if you're talking about Obama 2008 states.  NC is really hard to pin down because of all the different factors involved.
And Indiana, if you include 2008.  But that will only be because of having Pence as his running mate.

pence isn't popular in indiana. trump will win the state despite him, not because of him.
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,708
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 06, 2016, 06:34:00 PM »
He's guaranteed Ohio and Iowa, and Florida is 50/50.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2016, 08:15:17 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on November 06, 2016, 06:34:00 PM
He's guaranteed Ohio and Iowa, and Florida is 50/50.

lol. If he's guaranteed Ohio, then Hillary is guaranteed Florida.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,173
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2016, 08:33:39 PM »
Iowa, NH, OH, FL, and possibly NC [if we count '08]
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 13 queries.