My weird path for Trump
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  My weird path for Trump
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Author Topic: My weird path for Trump  (Read 563 times)
zorkpolitics
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« on: November 06, 2016, 03:42:25 PM »



There have been polls this weekend in MI and PA that show it tied.  Meanwhile the NY Times has a nice graphic showing that PA and MI are the states, that compared to 2012, have the most potential Trump voters among high school educated men.  Farther south polls continue to show a small lead for Clinton in FL, driven in part part by the demographic shifts from 2012.  So how does Trump win without FL?
He takes MI, PA, and ME-2, along with IA, OH, and NC.  On paper that still gives Clinton a 271 win, but if the two WA electors don't vote for Clinton (as they have threatened), then its Clinton 269 Trump 267, and the House selects the President, given that the GOP is the majority in over 30 states, Trump wins.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2016, 03:44:29 PM »

LOL! Give Trump NH. If he wins PA and MI, he will win NH too.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2016, 03:45:11 PM »

LOL! Give Trump NH. If he wins PA and MI, he will win NH too.

Oh no, he won't.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2016, 03:46:52 PM »



There have been polls this weekend in MI and PA that show it tied.  Meanwhile the NY Times has a nice graphic showing that PA and MI are the states, that compared to 2012, have the most potential Trump voters among high school educated men.  Farther south polls continue to show a small lead for Clinton in FL, driven in part part by the demographic shifts from 2012.  So how does Trump win without FL?
He takes MI, PA, and ME-2, along with IA, OH, and NC.  On paper that still gives Clinton a 271 win, but if the two WA electors don't vote for Clinton (as they have threatened), then its Clinton 269 Trump 267, and the House selects the President, given that the GOP is the majority in over 30 states, Trump wins.

Trump folks are getting more delusional by the second.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2016, 03:47:35 PM »

LOL! Give Trump NH. If he wins PA and MI, he will win NH too.

Oh no, he won't.

Trump is the only Pub who has a fighting chance.

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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2016, 03:50:14 PM »

LOL! Give Trump NH. If he wins PA and MI, he will win NH too.

Oh no, he won't.

Trump is the only Pub who has a fighting chance.

Yeah, Trump was definitely the most electable Republican candidate this year. Roll Eyes

The only one who can contest New Hampshire.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 03:53:21 PM »

The only one who can contest New Hampshire.

Like Romney and Brown and McCain? No Republican could have won NH this year, lol.

No. Romney, Brown and McCain had no chance. That kind of Republican doesn't fare well in New Hampshire.

The kind of Pub candidate that has a fighting chance is GWB and Trump.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 03:53:30 PM »

This is just a strange map. Why wouldn't you just him Florida in this case as well? You even gave him North Carolina.

Early voting seems to suggest a FL/NC split is very possible.
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Hammy
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 03:53:45 PM »

As of this point, with the FBI report concluded, Clinton has a better chance of winning Ohio than Trump does either Michigan or Pennsylvania.
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