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February 15, 2019, 01:48:11 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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Author Topic: NY-19 and NY-03/Siena: Trump+5 and Hillary+1  (Read 678 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« on: November 07, 2016, 12:19:02 am »

NY-19:

43% Trump
38% Hillary
  6% Johnson
  3% Stein

48% Faso (R)
42% Teachout (D)

Quote
This CD was O+6 in 2012 and O+8 in 2008.

https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD191016_Crosstabs734.pdf

NY-03:

44% Hillary
43% Trump
  2% Johnson
  2% Stein

47% Suozzi (D)
40% Martins (R)

Quote
This CD was O+3 in 2012 and O+8 in 2008.

https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/CD031016_Crosstabs381.pdf
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Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 12:55:33 am »

This changes everything.
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populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
ExtremeConservative
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E: 8.39, S: 7.83

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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 01:12:28 am »

Zephyr, you've been taught your way out!
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Can we have a real Christian conservative president instead of having our party go down the road of populism and nationalism, with strains of liberal-tarianism?  Let the loss of the House be a lesson that we need to return to the party of Marco Rubio, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Rick Santorum, and Bill Lee.  We need a bold and optimistic vision for this country that embraces Christian values!

Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 03:15:59 am »

Clinton's actual margin in NY is going to be much larger than what Siena found, so I am not really all that concerned about these races.
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FM Scott🦋
Ascott
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 05:46:42 am »

Polls are all over the place in NY-19.

Ugh.  I don't know why Teachout had to run in such an R-leaning district.  Surely there are other districts more palpable to politicians of her brand that will be open soon?
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Vote January 18-20!
Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 08:20:07 am »

Zephyr! Sad
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Update lives again on Atlas After Dark. PM me for info.
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 01:21:13 pm »

Relieved to see Faso overperform Trump. Hopefully Zephyr the zany America-hating Marxist gets nowhere near the House seat. Also shocked to see Martins do this poorly, Israel sure chose the right year to retire.
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Endorsements:
AZ-SEN: Martha McSally
FL-SEN: Rick Scott
IN-SEN: Mike Braun
MI-SEN: John James
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley
MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale
NV-SEN: Dean Heller
OH-SEN: Jim Renacci
PA-SEN: Lou Barletta
TN-SEN: Marsha Blackburn
TX-SEN: Ted Cruz
WV-SEN: Patrick Morrisey
FL-GOV: Ron DeSantis
OH-GOV: Mike DeWine
TX-GOV: Greg Abbott
WI-GOV: Scott Walker
NH-GOV: Molly Kelly
NH-02: Annie Kuster
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