NC-Upshot/Siena: Tie

[Ozymandias]

"Mrs. Clinton leads among voters who have already cast their ballot by a nine-point margin, 49 percent to 40 percent. But Mr. Trump leads among those yet to vote by 17 points, 52 percent to 35 percent."

This implies that about 65% of their sample has already voted early.

[Ozymandias]

"Mrs. Clinton leads among voters who have already cast their ballot by a nine-point margin, 49 percent to 40 percent. But Mr. Trump leads among those yet to vote by 17 points, 52 percent to 35 percent."

This implies that about 65% of their sample has already voted early.

63% according to crosstabs

I couldn't find the actual poll-- can you post the link to the crosstabs? Thanks.

[Ozymandias]

Crosstabs from Sienna:

http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/5aa2333d-0f5b-49b3-92d6-dfcc5a1c58f6.pdf
http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/3603bf1b-a0f6-4234-ba77-34eeadff55d0.pdf

Here

Thank you!

And updating the numbers:

Of the 63% (504/800) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 49
Trump - 40

Ross - 52
Burr - 42

Cooper - 52
McCrory - 43

It look like Ross is running slightly ahead of Clinton and Cooper in EV, despite trailing overall. Interesting!