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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NM - Clinton +2
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Author Topic: NM - Clinton +2  (Read 2578 times)
jaichind
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« on: November 07, 2016, 09:18:34 am »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_NM_November.pdf

Clinton   46  (+1)
Trump    44  (+4)
Johnson  6   (-3)
Stein      1

Johnson dropping quickly to the benefit of Trump
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Buzz
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:11 am »

Hmmmmmm
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:40 am »

LOL no
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 09:20:48 am »

Very weird.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 09:21:55 am »

Will New Mexico even be Johnson's best state at this point?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:01 am »

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:32 am »

Thank God this is already in the 538 db.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 09:30:51 am »

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:18 am »

I always thought NM had potential to go WV on the Democrats down the road, but not against someone like Trump.  If anything, this just confirms to me that polls are missing a ton of Hispanics.

LOL what?

Something about Mexican Catholics and Oilfield workers yada yada yada..
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ReapSow
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 09:31:42 am »

Zip is weird. Trump has increasingly gained one point each day in their daily polls.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 09:39:26 am »

LOL, obviously junk. But Iím surprised that Johnsonís number is that weak in his native state of NM. Maybe thereís a small chance Hillary breaks 50% here as well.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 09:41:59 am »

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
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Absolution9
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 09:44:35 am »

Their last "poll" undersampled Latinos by 15 pts and only 11 of the 1000+ respondents chose to do the poll in Spanish.

lolno!

You do realize that NM has very few recent Spanish speaking immigrants.  Only 9.9% of the pop is foreign born, that compares to 19.1% in NV.
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 10:27:59 am »

Did they poll more than 12 Hispanics this time?
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King
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 10:29:30 am »

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
Many voter-calling firms are politically aligned, like GOPcalls.com, which has served clients like the 2000 and 2004 Bush campaigns and Senator Pete Domenici (R-N.M.). Founder and CEO Chris Kolker started the business just over 20 years ago, selling standalone automated dialers to churches looking for ways to notify parishioners about upcoming events. Kolker started developing his own software and working with political clients about 16 years ago.
GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!
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Tulsi "Both sides" Gabbard
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 10:54:09 am »

LOL no
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
xingkerui
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 12:23:46 pm »

Dang, maybe NM polling is worse than NV polling.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2016, 12:31:45 pm »

The polling out of NV and NM make no sense to me whatsoever. Both states I felt would be strong HRC states, but they'd been consistently closer than expected.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2016, 07:57:06 pm »

This pollster's full name is probably Zia-ul-Hack.

sorry
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bronz4141
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2016, 08:20:16 pm »

Some Hispanics in NM is voting for Trump.
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ReapSow
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2016, 08:25:12 pm »

Some #investigativejournalism: They claim to be a nonpartisan outfit recently renamed from the highly respected Dialing Services (?). Obviously never heard of Dialing Services and the domain is registered to DOMAINSBYPROXY hidden. Their CEO is just a photo of a guy named "Chris" with no surname.

But through some innovative Facebook stalking of their PR contact, young Gary supporter Brandon Gregoire (SAD!), I was able to unearth the surname of Chris as Chris Kolker. Then, through a Google of Chris Kolker I was able to find out his real background from a 2008 CNET article:

https://www.cnet.com/news/election-day-brings-invasion-of-robocalls/

Quote
Many voter-calling firms are politically aligned, like GOPcalls.com, which has served clients like the 2000 and 2004 Bush campaigns and Senator Pete Domenici (R-N.M.). Founder and CEO Chris Kolker started the business just over 20 years ago, selling standalone automated dialers to churches looking for ways to notify parishioners about upcoming events. Kolker started developing his own software and working with political clients about 16 years ago.
GOPCALLS.COM is now ZIA POLL

Zia Poll (R)--JUNK POLL!

Nice. Somebody give this man a Pulitzer!
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Green Line
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2016, 08:29:02 pm »

If you add +7 to Trumps number, you get Lean Trump!
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