Fox Clinton +4 (user search)
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  Fox Clinton +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox Clinton +4  (Read 2525 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: November 07, 2016, 10:54:48 AM »

men: Trump +5
women: Clinton +12
whites: Trump +17
non-whites: Clinton +57
white college degree: Clinton +2
white no college degree: Trump +31
urban: Clinton +24
suburban: Clinton +5
rural: Trump +13
under age 35: Clinton +18
age 35-54: Trump +8
age 55+: Clinton +6
under $50k income: Clinton +16
over $50k income: Trump +1
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 03:52:38 PM »

under age 35: Clinton +18
age 35-54: Trump +8
age 55+: Clinton +6

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.
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For the 35-54 to fit that, the 35 - 45 group in this poll would really need to be only modestly Democratic with the rest being heavily Republican.

The 55+ might fit if the silent generation has dwindled quite a bit and the older, more Democratic boomers now voting more than the others.

What's going on there?


I don't know.  Is it an outlier?  Their previous poll also showed Trump doing best among those age 35-54:

under age 35: Clinton +16
age 35-54: Trump +17
age 55+: Clinton +7

In contrast, here are the age crosstabs in other recent national polls:

McClatchy/Marist:

age 18-29: Clinton +17
age 30-44: Clinton +8
age 45-59: Trump +8
age 60+: Trump +5

Yougov:

under 30: Clinton +46
30-44: Clinton +9
45-64: Trump +5
65+: Trump +23

Pew:

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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 05:20:30 PM »

under age 35: Clinton +18
age 35-54: Trump +8
age 55+: Clinton +6

.
.
.

For the 35-54 to fit that, the 35 - 45 group in this poll would really need to be only modestly Democratic with the rest being heavily Republican.

The 55+ might fit if the silent generation has dwindled quite a bit and the older, more Democratic boomers now voting more than the others.

What's going on there?


I don't know.  Is it an outlier?  Their previous poll also showed Trump doing best among those age 35-54:

under age 35: Clinton +16
age 35-54: Trump +17
age 55+: Clinton +7


Followup to the above: Looks like Monmouth uses the same age categories, and here's what they have:

age 18-34: Clinton +27
age 35-54: Clinton +4
age 55+: Clinton +1
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