Fox Clinton +4

[Virginiá]

under age 35: Clinton +18
age 35-54: Trump +8
age 55+: Clinton +6

Those are some funky numbers. 55+ is typically much more Republican these days and 35-54 shouldn't be T+8. Well, at least 35 - 45 or 50? Those voters have been pro-Democratic over the past 10 - 20 years. Sometimes significantly.



For the 35-54 to fit that, the 35 - 45 group in this poll would really need to be only modestly Democratic with the rest being heavily Republican.

The 55+ might fit if the silent generation has dwindled quite a bit and the older, more Democratic boomers now voting more than the others.

What's going on there?

[Virginiá]

I don't know.  Is it an outlier?  Their previous poll also showed Trump doing best among those age 35-54:

30-44 tends to state her support among that group better I suppose. Democrats have done very well with young voters since the early-mid 90s and their support has not really undergone a fundamental shift since then even as they aged. But when they do 35 - 54, that includes a large range of more Republican age groups that drags the overall Democratic support quite a bit.

Still for a T+8 among 35-54 seems a bit heavy for Trump given what kind of voters inhabit the 35-44 range there. And the +6 Clinton support among 55+ is seems strange for a +4 national poll.

I guess we'll see what happens tomorrow. I'm more inclined to think these age groups won't actually vote quite like that if the race is of a similar margin.