Why are some states difficult to poll? (user search)
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  Why are some states difficult to poll? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why are some states difficult to poll?  (Read 2579 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,417
United States


« on: July 26, 2017, 01:42:03 PM »

Not really states per se, but obviously the five electoral votes awarded by CD (Maine & Nebraska), because of high MOEs and low CIs.

Indiana might be on the list as well, because of the ban on Robocalls... fewer polls and harder too filter out what's really going on.

Is Michigan really that hard to poll? I know there was the major polling error in the '16 Democratic Primary, but is there really a history of inaccurate polling?

Also, it seems that states with really small populations (MT, ND, SD, WY, VT, and possibly RI), seem to have polling that significantly differs from final voting percentages. Not sure if that is accurate, or just the impression that I have from the past few GE cycles.
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