Midnight towns (NH) **results thread**

[libertpaulian]

Jill is losing. haha.

So, if she fails to get 0.5%-1% in NH, will her 2020 platform be that midnight voting causes autism?

[Trapsy]

Jill is losing. haha.

So, if she fails to get 0.5%-1% in NH, will her 2020 platform be that midnight voting causes autism?

with Jilly, You can't count anything out. lol

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Can we panic?


Kidding

[libertpaulian]

BUT MUH ANGRY WOMEN

TN Volunteer is going to be eating a big plate of crow when the state is called for Ayotte.

[izixs]

So if Mitt keeps up this kind of performance, might this be the election results?!?!?! (Clinton - Trump - Romney - Johnson)

... Probably not.

[Devout Centrist]

Literally three nonpredictive towns.

[mds32]

Was 23-9 in favor of Obama last time. Horrific numbers for Clinton.

Concern trolling at its finest.

That's because Millsfield wasn't counted in those results in 2012. They were just added in 2016 I believe.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I love how actual votes have been counted and the usual suspects are already trying to spin these small towns as somehow being mystical places unlike the dozens and dozens of other small towns just like them in the state that don't vote at midnight.

This is a pretty nice preview of New Hampshire. It doesn't officially mean anything, but the attitude towards NH ought to be one of more caution from what these numbers show.

[mds32]

The only thing that these towns are showing any indication of is that the Republicans down the ballot are in fact going to have a bump ahead of Trump. With Sununu at the moment to be heading up the ticket.

[Milton Friedman]

Literally three nonpredictive towns.

Mills field isn't for sure, but why is Harts not?

[Xing]

If people didn't overreact to this, I'd wonder if I was even on Atlas anymore, lol.

[RI]

Was 23-9 in favor of Obama last time. Horrific numbers for Clinton.

Concern trolling at its finest.

That's because Millsfield wasn't counted in those results in 2012. They were just added in 2016 I believe.

No, that's not how it works at all. 23-9 was Hart's Location's vote in 2012 which has nothing to do with Millsfield.

[musicblind]

I love how actual votes have been counted and the usual suspects are already trying to spin these small towns as somehow being mystical places unlike the dozens and dozens of other small towns just like them in the state that don't vote at midnight.

This is a pretty nice preview of New Hampshire. It doesn't officially mean anything, but the attitude towards NH ought to be one of more caution from what these numbers show.

It's about sample size. It's hard to extrapolate such a small sample size to an entire state.

For example, in 2012, Obama and Romney split the Dixville Notch 5 votes to 5 votes. All the while, Obama won New Hampshire by 5.58%

If this is representative of anything, it is representative of very, very small micro towns that vote at midnight and know that their votes will be broadcast nationwide.

It's a fun excersise and I love watching it... but it isn't historically predictive.

[Crumpets]

Anybody want to make a township swing map?

[ucscgaldamez1]

In 2004, John Kerry carried New Hampshire 50-49 and Bush won Hart's location 16-14. In 2000, the last time a Republican won New Hampshire,  Bush won over Gore 17-13 Hart's location.. He carried the state 48-47.

Clinton won Hart's location 17-14 tonight. I think we may be looking at an election that may look between 2000 and 2004. Very close election. I think Clinton wins NH by 2-3%.

[RI]

Anybody want to make a township swing map?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

In 2004, John Kerry carried New Hampshire 50-49 and Bush won Hart's location 16-14. In 2000, the last time a Republican won New Hampshire,  Bush won over Gore 17-13 Hart's location.. He carried the state 48-47.

Clinton won Hart's location 17-14 tonight. I think we may be looking at an election that may look between 2000 and 2004. Very close election. I think Clinton wins NH by 2-3%.

Lol

[IceSpear]

Only on Atlas would you find people unironically extrapolating an election in a town with like 10 people to a nationwide election of over 100 million people.

[Tender Branson]

Always funny to watch the midnight towns, but I wouldn't interpret a lot into it.

I can only say that NH will be tight, that's what my stomach tells me. And he's usually not wrong.

[ApatheticAustrian]

have you even looked at the CROSSTABS???

[Ljube]

Only on Atlas would you find people unironically extrapolating an election in a town with like 10 people to a nationwide election of over 100 million people.

Better than trusting polls. These are real results.

[IceSpear]

Only on Atlas would you find people unironically extrapolating an election in a town with like 10 people to a nationwide election of over 100 million people.

Better than trusting polls. These are real results.

So I guess the polls that said Bill Clinton would win NH were less useful than him getting 4th place in Dixville Notch.

[Joe Republic]

Can somebody make a precinct map of each town, with each house colored red/blue/whatever?

#atlasforum

[Lyin' Steve]

So does Clinton Romney still have a chance or should we start panicking?

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Can somebody make a precinct map of each town, with each house colored red/blue/whatever?

#atlasforum

I'll ask Google to crunch the numbers for us.  Who's got eighty dollars to blow?