What early results tomorrow will cause you to freakout?
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  What early results tomorrow will cause you to freakout?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: What early results tomorrow will cause you to freakout?  (Read 4196 times)
win win
dxu8888
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« on: November 07, 2016, 10:28:33 PM »
Say before Florida comes in.
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mencken
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 10:31:02 PM »
If Trump is not leading the early New Hampshire returns (they tend to be a few points more Republican than the eventual state result), then I will know he has lost.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 10:31:42 PM »
Doesn't matter - people will still s*** themselves over early VA returns, despite knowing the count is always good for the GOPher to start.
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Figueira
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 10:33:49 PM »
So, just Dixville Notch/Indiana/Kentucky? I guess if Young and/or Holcomb have a clear early lead I would start to panic.
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PeteB
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 10:35:12 PM »
If Trump is doing poorly in early counting in IN.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 01:24:59 AM »
Quote from: PeteB on November 07, 2016, 10:35:12 PM
If Trump is doing poorly in early counting in IN.

Anything less than a double-digit lead in Indiana indicates deep trouble for the Trump candidacy. Such is a very old pattern.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 02:19:50 AM »
Anything positive for Trump at all.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 02:20:29 AM »
Trump behind in IN would make for a short, but interesting night.
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Rules for me, but not for thee
Dabeav
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2016, 02:36:11 AM »
Clinton winning NH, PA and OH.  Not really a freakout but a "Oh no, not this sh*t again!"
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2016, 02:41:07 AM »

Well, you are setting yourself up.
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Hammy
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM »
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.
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Cali123
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 02:44:00 AM »
Trump will be way ahead of Clinton! I don't support either but it will shock me.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 02:44:40 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 02:50:20 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.

There's no way in hell the latter will happen. Former would definitely be worrying though.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 02:51:35 AM »
Well, Indiana is one of the first states to come in, and if it's called before other states start to come in, I'll be concerned.
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Hammy
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2016, 02:51:54 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 08, 2016, 02:50:20 AM
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.

There's no way in hell the latter will happen. Former would definitely be worrying though.

Not saying it will, but I'd almost certainly have a meltdown if it did
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2016, 02:52:31 AM »
Write-in Bernie leading VT
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2016, 02:53:14 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:51:54 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on November 08, 2016, 02:50:20 AM
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.

There's no way in hell the latter will happen. Former would definitely be worrying though.

Not saying it will, but I'd almost certainly have a meltdown if it did

Yeah, but you might as well say if Vermont is called for Trump when the polls closed. They're about as likely as each other. 0% = 0%. Tongue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2016, 02:54:10 AM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 08, 2016, 02:51:35 AM
Well, Indiana is one of the first states to come in, and if it's called before other states start to come in, I'll be concerned.

Why? It was called for Romney immediately in 2012. If it's called for Trump immediately, it would just mean it isn't a massive D landslide, which most of us already know isn't going to happen.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2016, 02:55:50 AM »
In terms of down ballot races, I'll be watching to see how congressional candidates fare relative to Clinton/Trump. For example, seeing Burr/McCrory overperform Trump initially could cause me to freak out a bit.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2016, 02:55:55 AM »
I'd have a cat5 melt down if
-Florida was 50% in and Trump was up 2% at 8:30pm est
And -PA was 10% in and Trump was up about the same at that time.

Hillary can't win and lose PA without Florida.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2016, 03:00:22 AM »
Alright.. VA was called too close to call in both 2008 and 2012... Obama won by 7 and 4. So I think it's quite likely that VA is considered too close to call.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2016, 03:00:50 AM »
Quote from: matthew27 on November 08, 2016, 02:55:55 AM
I'd have a cat5 melt down if
-Florida was 50% in and Trump was up 2% at 8:30pm est
And -PA was 10% in and Trump was up about the same at that time.

Hillary can't win and lose PA without Florida.

Latter is impossible. Philly counts first. If Trump wins the state, it'll be a gradual comeback throughout the night after massively trailing early on. That's what happened in the 2010 Senate race.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2016, 03:02:31 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on November 08, 2016, 02:50:20 AM
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.

There's no way in hell the latter will happen. Former would definitely be worrying though.

VA is no doubt solid Hillary, but are we really expecting it to be called at poll closing time? Doesn't NOVA take like 4 hours to report?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2016, 03:04:34 AM »
Quote from: Andrea Beaumont on November 08, 2016, 03:02:31 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on November 08, 2016, 02:50:20 AM
Quote from: Hammy on November 08, 2016, 02:43:22 AM
If Virginia is too close to call while North Carolina is called for Trump instantly.

There's no way in hell the latter will happen. Former would definitely be worrying though.

VA is no doubt solid Hillary, but are we really expecting it to be called at poll closing time? Doesn't NOVA take like 4 hours to report?

No, I don't expect it to be called when the polls close. But there's a big difference between too early to call and too close to call.
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