2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 23954 times)
heatcharger
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« Reply #100 on: November 08, 2016, 05:40:57 PM »
FOX News:

49% unfavorable opinion of Democrats
56% unfavorable opinion of Republicans
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #101 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:01 PM »
Quote from: SunSt0rm on November 08, 2016, 05:38:46 PM
HARRY ENTEN 5:34 PM
There has been talk that black turnout may be down in North Carolina. The preliminary exit polls suggest that may be the case. Only 21 percent of voters in North Carolina identified as black. That’s down slightly from 23 percent in 2012.

D:
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #102 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:23 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on November 08, 2016, 05:40:27 PM
So... 20 minutes until the real results start coming in? Cool.

Yup. Too bad Indiana and Kentucky are so unrepresentative this year.

Trying to find what the exit poll said for non-college whites in 2012, but there doesn't appear to be a source that breaks it down by both race and education combined that I can tell.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #103 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:41 PM »
Reading all this, it certainly looks like Hillary +3 or so
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Yank2133
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« Reply #104 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:50 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on November 08, 2016, 05:40:57 PM
FOX News:

49% unfavorable opinion of Democrats
56% unfavorable opinion of Republicans

Jesus.....
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henster
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« Reply #105 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:50 PM »
Latino voters -- early exit:

Clinton 65%
Trump 27%

2012:
Obama 71%
Romney 27%
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Mike88
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« Reply #106 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:56 PM »

As expected.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #107 on: November 08, 2016, 05:41:58 PM »
From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #108 on: November 08, 2016, 05:42:25 PM »
Has there been any information on college educated whites yet?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #109 on: November 08, 2016, 05:42:37 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:41:58 PM
From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%


It'll get adjusted up with California.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #110 on: November 08, 2016, 05:42:54 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:41:58 PM
From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%


I'm gonna go ahead and bet that Latino number is off by 5 points at least.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #111 on: November 08, 2016, 05:43:08 PM »
White College Men (GOP margin)
1980: +32
1988: +30
1992: +10
1996: +21
2000: +23
2004: +20
2008: +14
2012: +21
2016: +11

(exit polls)
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #112 on: November 08, 2016, 05:43:09 PM »
8% would be double what Romney/McCain received from African Americans - not terrible actually.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #113 on: November 08, 2016, 05:43:37 PM »
Quote from: Erich Maria Remarque on November 08, 2016, 05:24:31 PM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on November 08, 2016, 05:22:56 PM
Via Steve Kornacki:

Early national exit:

Whites w/ college degree
Trump +1
2012: Romney +14

Whites w/out college degree
Trump +36
2012: Romney +26

Wow! Terrific number for Trump, if black vote is down.

How?

Whites with = -13 from 2012
Whites without = +10
net = -3
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #114 on: November 08, 2016, 05:44:20 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 08, 2016, 05:42:25 PM
Has there been any information on college educated whites yet?

Trump +1 I believe, down from Romney +14 in 2012, although Trump improved by 10 on Romney's margin with the uneducated whites
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #115 on: November 08, 2016, 05:44:42 PM »
Quote from: henster on November 08, 2016, 05:41:50 PM
Latino voters -- early exit:

Clinton 65%
Trump 27%

2012:
Obama 71%
Romney 27%

Whaaat?  So blacks is down, and Trump is doing 6% better marginwise with hispanics than Romney.
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Mike88
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« Reply #116 on: November 08, 2016, 05:44:49 PM »
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on November 08, 2016, 05:43:37 PM
Quote from: Erich Maria Remarque on November 08, 2016, 05:24:31 PM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on November 08, 2016, 05:22:56 PM
Via Steve Kornacki:

Early national exit:

Whites w/ college degree
Trump +1
2012: Romney +14

Whites w/out college degree
Trump +36
2012: Romney +26

Wow! Terrific number for Trump, if black vote is down.

How?

Whites with = -13 from 2012
Whites without = +10
net = -3

And the white vote, is apparently down.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #117 on: November 08, 2016, 05:45:01 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 08, 2016, 05:43:09 PM
8% would be double what Romney/McCain received from African Americans - not terrible actually.

Until all the Trump bots said he would easily get 20% of the black vote.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #118 on: November 08, 2016, 05:45:13 PM »
There early exit polls because they dont include the west coast, right?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #119 on: November 08, 2016, 05:45:51 PM »
Anyone gonna be looking at Vigo?
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #120 on: November 08, 2016, 05:45:55 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on November 08, 2016, 05:42:37 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:41:58 PM
From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%


It'll get adjusted up with California.

Yeah, once they get more responses from the Western states, Clinton's margin will go up.
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Computer89
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« Reply #121 on: November 08, 2016, 05:45:59 PM »
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/election-2016-battleground-state-exit-poll-results-analysis/story?id=43368489
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RJEvans
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« Reply #122 on: November 08, 2016, 05:46:04 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:41:58 PM
From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%


Third parties eating more from Clinton's support?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #123 on: November 08, 2016, 05:46:15 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on November 08, 2016, 05:45:13 PM
There early exit polls because they dont include the west coast, right?

Yeah I'm highly skeptical of the Hispanic numbers. California should change that to a certain extent.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #124 on: November 08, 2016, 05:46:29 PM »
These exit polls are really conflicting
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