2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/evansiegfried/status/796115010997063680

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Uhhh….that adds up to over 100%. 

Voter fraud!

[GeorgiaModerate]

 Ok, I'm going out on a limb and saying that all those who were predicting a Clinton landslide in early October were wrong.

This is very true.  There was no election in October.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyone looking at predictit.org?

https://electionbettingodds.com/, which combines betfair and predictit odds, is at 84.3% Clinton.  It was 81.9 this morning and 82.3 in mid-afternoon.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyone looking at predictit.org?

https://electionbettingodds.com/, which combines betfair and predictit odds, is at 84.3% Clinton.  It was 81.9 this morning and 82.3 in mid-afternoon.

How likely will Hillary Clinton win in a landslide tonight?

Seems unlikely.  Most models are predicting a comfortable but not huge Clinton victory (~4% PV margin and roughly in the 300-340 EV range.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

What time should this circus be called by?

Not earlier than 11pm EST, when the polls close on the West Coast.  And then only if Clinton has a comfortable lead nationwide.  If she doesn't, it could be a very long night.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Any guess as to which states will be called at poll closing time?

I think IN and KY for Trump. VT for Clinton. SC, GA, VA too early too call.

Good guesses, although maybe VA for Clinton.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia TOO CLOSE TO CALL!

No, "too early" to call.  This is distinctly different from too close to call.  It just means that there are enough numbers in to reasonably make a call.

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA exit looks surprisingly close!

Men 57-38 Trump
Women 54-41 Clinton

But 55% of the electorate is women, so...

That works out to 48.2-46.8 Trump.  If those hold up...it will be a long night in GA.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Georgia TOO CLOSE TO CALL!

No, "too early" to call.  This is distinctly different from too close to call.  It just means that there are enough numbers in to reasonably make a call.

I know the difference and I know what I said. NBC/MSNBC have it as too close to call, not too early.

Oh, sorry about that; CNN has it as "too early" and that's all I'd seen at that point.  But from the exit polls, it does like "too close" is the right description.

[GeorgiaModerate]

GA was called at 8pm in 2012, VA wasn't called until around midnight I think.

I'll bet the order flips tonight.