I mean, Fallin wasn't on the ballot, and Stitt was an "outsider", not a politician.
Funny, that didn't seem to matter to you guys when you were arguing Edmondson would win because of Fallin's approval and called me insane for rating it safe R and saying Stitt would win by double digits. I guess history never stops repeating itself.
Predicting Edmondson would win was an even worse prediction than Hyde-Smith +20 btw.
While I wasnt one of those people, there was still points of data that pointed towards it being a possibility. There was no evidence of that occurring in MS. The MS prediction is just plain bad, and ignores the facts of the elections.
There really were not. He trailed in every single poll in the last few months and polls always overestimate the Dems in Oklahoma anyway. Fundamentals? It's Oklahoma! There were absolutely zero things pointing to him winning other than Muhry Fallin's approval and hackery. Same for Kentucky. Kentucky polls overestimate the Democrats, Conway had a lead even right before the election then still got BTFO. And as for the fundamentals, it's Kentucky. Bevin being unpopular doesn't matter. They are not going to elect a Democrat.
Atlas really needs to learn the lesson from the flameouts of Bredesen, Edmondson, etc. Some states are just unwinnable no matter what.
By the way, in regards to "gubernatorial elections being different"...only one red state elected a Democratic governor this year, and the state wasn't even all that red this year. Clearly polarization is increasing for them as well unless there's a popular incumbent like Beebe, Hogan, etc.
my favorite part of atlas
Oklahoma tossup tilt R coz Stitt weak candidate muh FALLIN and Edmonson = strong candidate
Texas Safe R because Lupe Valdez weak candidate.
Both results were almost the same. Also yeah people gonna spam muh kansas when kansas is a D trending state with a lot of RINOs who might consider the D line. Its incredible how far left Johnson went this year for the gov race.
