SWING MAP 2012 TO 2016 (Congressional districts not included)
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Author Topic: SWING MAP 2012 TO 2016 (Congressional districts not included)  (Read 2268 times)
twenty42
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« on: November 12, 2016, 06:40:01 PM »
« edited: November 12, 2016, 07:35:47 PM by twenty42 »



  • Idaho, Virginia, Illinois, and Kansas within one percentage point.
  • Biggest D swing--Utah (D+28.94)
  • Biggest R swing--North Dakota (R+16.09)
  • Biggest surprises (in my eyes)--Rhode Island (R+13.13), Hawaii (R+11.17), Delaware (R+7.2), Vermont (R+7.12)

I'll post the full numbers within the next couple days, but just in case TN Volunteer can't wait, New Hampshire went R+5.21.
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2016, 06:43:14 PM »
Why did Kansas trend Democratic?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2016, 06:44:07 PM »
That's swing, not trend. And Dave already has swing and trend maps available here.

Smiley
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twenty42
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2016, 06:46:10 PM »

Fixed
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danny
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« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2016, 06:52:08 PM »

A lot of that was because of people writing in Sanders.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2016, 07:02:44 PM »
North Dakota and Illinois were shockers. But then again, most states were.
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AGA
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E: 0.39, S: -5.39

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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2016, 07:11:04 PM »

Their Republican governor is very unpopular.
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Metallifreak10
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2016, 07:17:49 PM »
Illinois swung Republican.. Obama won by 16.87% in 2012. This year, it'll probably end up around 16.2% once all the votes are counted.
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twenty42
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« Reply #8 on: November 12, 2016, 07:36:22 PM »
Quote from: Metallifreak10 on November 12, 2016, 07:17:49 PM
Illinois swung Republican.. Obama won by 16.87% in 2012. This year, it'll probably end up around 16.2% once all the votes are counted.

You're right. I misread my paper. Fixed it.
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #9 on: November 13, 2016, 11:13:13 AM »
Quote from: PaperKooper on September 26, 2016, 09:51:15 AM
Delaware will shift 4 to 10 points towards the Republicans without Obama or Biden. 

Just saying.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #10 on: November 13, 2016, 06:39:59 PM »
Quote from: Chrome on November 12, 2016, 07:11:04 PM

Their Republican governor is very unpopular.
That was part of it, but almost every county swung towards Trump, including Crawford, a working class Obama 2008 county. Johnson, Douglas, and Riley Counties, three highly educated areas, fueled the overall swing.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: November 13, 2016, 07:00:03 PM »
I don't suppose anyone's done county maps yet (for any state)?
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nclib
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« Reply #12 on: November 13, 2016, 07:32:22 PM »
I saw a county swing map for most states but forgot where.

Can anyone do a swing from Obama -> Hillary and Romney -> Trump. With more third-party votes, those maps would be interesting.
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2016, 05:19:41 PM »
Swing to Trump or Hillary by county:
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nclib
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« Reply #14 on: November 24, 2016, 11:40:59 PM »
Quote from: nclib on November 13, 2016, 07:32:22 PM
Can anyone do a swing from Obama -> Hillary and Romney -> Trump. With more third-party votes, those maps would be interesting.

Here it is:

Obama% (Blue) vs. Clinton% (Red)




Trump% (Blue) vs. Romney% (Red)
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