I'm surprised Tim Ryan still won by a 2-1 margin in Ohio's 13th, considering how Trump was actually able to flip it.
Was Trump really able to flip OH-13? That's amazing, considering he narrowly lost Mahoning County and the district also includes Kent and a decent chunk of Akron.
I doubt Trump won OH-13. That district was gerrymandered to be a Dem vote sink by taking in African America areas of Akron and Lorain.
And it isn't in Lorain at all. It's a combo of white Dem Summit (yes the black parts were largely carved out and dumped into OH-11), plus areas around Youngstown, also taking in Kent State in Portage, plus the town of Alliance in Stark County. There are some blacks in Youngstown of course. Trump probably did carry it.
I don't at all follow, looking at the map, how the district can possibly be less Democratic than Mahoning County as a whole (it's Mahoning plus the most Democratic neighboring areas), considering Hillary won Mahoning County. It was certainly reduced to a single-digit margin, but I can't imagine Trump having won the district as a whole.
