2017 British Columbia election
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Author Topic: 2017 British Columbia election  (Read 66612 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #350 on: May 09, 2017, 11:15:48 PM »

NDP just took the lead. 43-42-1.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #351 on: May 09, 2017, 11:19:12 PM »

The one seat with no results went Green back in 2013
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #352 on: May 09, 2017, 11:22:47 PM »

44-41-1 with no results from the sole Green-held seat.
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Vosem
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E: 8.13, S: -6.09

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« Reply #353 on: May 09, 2017, 11:29:03 PM »

What are they smoking in Oak Bay-Gordon Head?
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trebor204
TREBOR204
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« Reply #354 on: May 09, 2017, 11:31:29 PM »

What are they smoking in Oak Bay-Gordon Head?

Elections BC says that phone line is down (Not sure why they can't use cell phones)
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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France


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E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #355 on: May 09, 2017, 11:35:55 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2017, 11:38:39 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

NDP: 43
Libs: 42
Greens: 1
And Oak Bay.

This election will come down to handful of ridings where the Greens are polling strong third place, like Courtenay-Comox and Vancouver False Creek.

Green candidate formally elected in Saanich.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,269
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Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #356 on: May 09, 2017, 11:36:58 PM »

NDP just took a three vote lead in Maple Ridge-Mission, pushing them up to 44 seats.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #357 on: May 09, 2017, 11:37:44 PM »

Finally getting Oak Bay in, huge lead for the Greens.

44-41-2.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #358 on: May 09, 2017, 11:37:52 PM »

NDP picks up their first swing seat! Surrey-Fleetwood
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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France


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E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #359 on: May 09, 2017, 11:41:08 PM »

Libs take the lead in Nechako Lakes, pushing them up to 42 seats.

The Greens will very likely hold the balance of power in the next assembly.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #360 on: May 09, 2017, 11:43:16 PM »

So far LIB is ahead in 11 seats with leads with less than 1000 votes.  NDP is ahead in 19 seats with leads less than 1000 votes.  So all things equal the LIB seat count is more likely to go up than down.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #361 on: May 09, 2017, 11:46:21 PM »

I can't begin to fathom why 15% of the voters would cast a useless vote for the Greens when NDP is an available alternative. Canada is just weird sometimes.
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Vosem
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« Reply #362 on: May 09, 2017, 11:49:18 PM »

I can't begin to fathom why 15% of the voters would cast a useless vote for the Greens when NDP is an available alternative. Canada is just weird sometimes.

Desire for a centrist (or center-left) alternative? The Greens are seen as being to the right of the NDP in a Canadian context, and the NDP might be seen as far from the median BC voter; lots of people may want to vote for a leftier government, or against the Liberals, but not feel comfortable voting for the NDP. Their last term in government in BC, from 1991-2001, was also widely seen as a disaster that left them with just 2 seats in the Assembly, and they've never really quite recovered.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #363 on: May 09, 2017, 11:52:16 PM »

I can't begin to fathom why 15% of the voters would cast a useless vote for the Greens when NDP is an available alternative. Canada is just weird sometimes.

I agree. You might want to ask the couple of posters here who did just that.

Looks like the Greens will in fact cost the NDP a victory. Good job, guys.
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Njall
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E: -1.55, S: -5.91

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« Reply #364 on: May 09, 2017, 11:52:54 PM »

The Greens have almost caught the NDP in Cowichan Valley
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jaichind
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« Reply #365 on: May 09, 2017, 11:53:12 PM »

1 LIB lead at risk: Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
4 NDP lead at risk: Maple Ridge-Mission, Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows, Courtenay-Comox, Saanich South

All things equal if there are going to be shifts now it will be in the advantage of LIB
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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France


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E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #366 on: May 09, 2017, 11:54:19 PM »

Liberals take the lead in Coquitlam, but it's only by 14 votes.
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Vosem
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« Reply #367 on: May 09, 2017, 11:56:50 PM »

Libs up 43-42-2 in seat leads. Just 14 seats left to call; Libs up 42.1%-39.2% in the popular vote. Considering the late votes seem to be more NDP-favorable, looks like we could very well have a wrong-winner situation on our hands
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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E: -5.00, S: -5.00

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« Reply #368 on: May 10, 2017, 12:03:27 AM »

NDP are catching up in Vancouver False Creek - only 38 votes behind with 55/93 reporting.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #369 on: May 10, 2017, 12:05:01 AM »

Balance of risk shifting against LIB

Now at risk for LIB:  Vancouver-False Creek, Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
and at  risk for NDP: Maple Ridge-Mission, Cowichan Valley (to Greens)

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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #370 on: May 10, 2017, 12:07:44 AM »

Cowichan Valley now has Greens ahead
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andrew_c
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« Reply #371 on: May 10, 2017, 12:09:08 AM »

84% chance of hung parliament according to CTV.
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jaichind
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #372 on: May 10, 2017, 12:09:38 AM »

Vancouver-False Creek now NDP ahead
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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E: -7.87, S: -3.83

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« Reply #373 on: May 10, 2017, 12:10:53 AM »

F**king Greens.
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jaichind
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Posts: 27,527
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #374 on: May 10, 2017, 12:11:28 AM »

84% chance of hung parliament according to CTV.

Yeah, if Greens gets 3 seats then it is hard for either LIB or NDP to win 44 at this stage.
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