2017 British Columbia election

[jaichind]

LIB vote share lead down to 2%

[Vosem]

Greens taking the lead in Cowichan Valley. Overall score is 42-42-3; called seats are at 40-37-2. Liberals probably slightly likelier to win, but NDP still in the hunt; will virtually certainly be a minority government either way.

[jaichind]

This result is a dream come true for the Greens

[Hatman 🍁]

So, one thing to remember: Lots of advance votes still left to count. They wont be counted for a while (days?) because Elections BC is understaffed. This election probably wont be called tonight.

[jaichind]

Maple Ridge-Mission now has LIB ahead
 

[Antonio the Sixth]

So, one thing to remember: Lots of advance votes still left to count. They wont be counted for a while (days?) because Elections BC is understaffed. This election probably wont be called tonight.

How do those votes lean?

[jaichind]

So, one thing to remember: Lots of advance votes still left to count. They wont be counted for a while (days?) because Elections BC is understaffed. This election probably wont be called tonight.

Historically has such advanced votes favored LIB or NDP?

[trebor204]

3 Riding where the difference between the Liberal and NDP is less than 250

Coq-Burke Mtn (69 of 82) 107 Lib Vote Lead
Maple Ridge Mission - (42/97) - 44 Lib Vote Lead
Van False Creek (61/93) - 32 NDP Vote Lead

Current Results: LIB 43, NDP 41, Green 3

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Back to tied. Man what a night!!

[andrew_c]

CTV projects hung parliament.

[Vosem]

What happens if there is a tie? Do one of the parties do a formal coalition with the Greens? Is there a revote? Could someone pull a David Emerson and switch sides? Does Clark remain in office on inertia?

[Holmes]

What happens if there is a tie? Do one of the parties do a formal coalition with the Greens? Is there a revote? Could someone pull a David Emerson and switch sides? Does Clark remain in office on inertia?

Greens probably crawl up the Liberals' asses as per.

[andrew_c]

Clark is the incumbent premier, so she gets the first shot to form a government.

[MAINEiac4434]

What happens if there is a tie? Do one of the parties do a formal coalition with the Greens? Is there a revote? Could someone pull a David Emerson and switch sides? Does Clark remain in office on inertia?

Minority Liberal government.

[DL]

Where is Lotuslander tonight? Is he on suicide watch?

[jaichind]

1 LIB at risk : Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
3 NDP at risk: Courtenay-Comox, Vancouver-False Creek, Maple Ridge-Mission

[jaichind]

All 3 NDP seats at risk: Courtenay-Comox, Vancouver-False Creek, Maple Ridge-Mission all just got closer.

[Vosem]

Cowichan Valley called for the Greens! 3 seats confirmed.

4 seats left uncalled, all Liberal-NDP marginals, Liberals currently lead just 1. If they win:
3-4, they get a majority government
2, they get a minority government
1, they probably get a minority government but much wrangling ensues
0, the NDP win a minority government

Interesting fact: if the NDP carry Vancouver-False Creek, one of the four uncalled marginals left, they will elect Morgane Oger, who will be the first openly transgender MLA in Canadian history, in any province.

[MAINEiac4434]

It's all down to Coquitlam. If the Libs hold that, they're assured government.

[jaichind]

Assuming it ends up 42-42 I assume LIB can also claim, in addition to being the incumbent party, that they won the popular vote so they should have first shot at government formation.

[MAINEiac4434]

Assuming it ends up 42-42 I assume LIB can also claim, in addition to being the incumbent party, that they won the popular vote so they should have first shot at government formation.

Popular vote has nothing to do with it. The incumbent party gets first shot.

Regardless, the Libs increased their lead in Coquitlam. With only four polls remaining, I can't see the NDP coming back.

NDP lead in Vancouver-False Creek is down to less than 50 votes.

Maple Ridge-Mission and Courtenay-Comax are probably the safest non-called NDP seats, both with a 100+ vote lead.

[Vosem]

Conservatives almost certainly spoiled the race in Courtenay-Comox for the Liberals; their vote is many times the current margin between the Liberals and the NDP.

Vancouver-False Creek and Maple Ridge-Mission are both within 100 votes with a bit of juice left and the last movement in both seats towards the Liberals; I reckon the Liberals win at least one uncalled seat beyond Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, which is really waiting for a call at this point.

[MAINEiac4434]

The Cons definitely are playing spoiler in Maple Ridge-Mission, too. 757 useless votes for the BC Conservatives there, with the Liberals trailing by 150.

[jaichind]

I assume that if it ends up being a minority government of some sort that we should be seeing a mid-term election soon ?

[Boston Bread]

Conservatives almost certainly spoiled the race in Courtenay-Comox for the Liberals; their vote is many times the current margin between the Liberals and the NDP.

Vancouver-False Creek and Maple Ridge-Mission are both within 100 votes with a bit of juice left and the last movement in both seats towards the Liberals; I reckon the Liberals win at least one uncalled seat beyond Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, which is really waiting for a call at this point.

There are ~5000 uncounted early votes in Coquitlam-Burke Mountain. The % of polls reporting is a misleading figure if what you want is % of votes counted.