2017 British Columbia election

[MAINEiac4434]

I assume that if it ends up being a minority government of some sort that we should be seeing a mid-term election soon ?

Yes. The NDP and Greens could ally to force an early election at an inconvenient time for the Liberals, or the Liberals could call an early one at an inconvenient time for the other two.

The latest poll report from Coquitlam saw the Liberal lead move up a smidge. Two polls left.

[MAINEiac4434]

The Liberal candidate is surging in Courtenay. Less than 30 vote lead for the NDP there, when it was over 300 just a few minutes ago.

[trebor204]

Courtenay-Comas, NDP now leading by 26 votes (6 polls remaining)
False Creek - NDP leading by 48 votes (6 polls remaining)

[jaichind]

I guess for Richmond-Queensborough, Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, Courtenay-Comox, Vancouver-False Creek, Maple Ridge-Mission the results will have to be determined by early votes.

[Figueira]

Is there a link to the results?

[MAINEiac4434]

Liberal just took an 86-vote lead in Courtenay.

The Liberals will form government. There's a chance they'll even get a majority.

[Vosem]

Is there a link to the results?

http://www.macleans.ca/politics/bc-election-live-election-results-map/

If the final results in both Maple Ridge-Mission and Courtenay-Comox are pushing those seats to the Liberals, then a majority is still possible: winning 3/4 of the current uncalled seats is all it would take. They can afford to lose one (presumably, Vancouver-False Creek looks like the best bet for the NDP of the current seats, which has the added benefit for them of being a HISTORIC result).

[trebor204]

Is there a link to the results?

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_Party.html

Liberals leading in Courtenay-Comas

[MAINEiac4434]

Is there a link to the results?

http://globalnews.ca/news/3432025/live-bc-election-2017-real-time-results/

[MAINEiac4434]

Does Horgan resign after this? This was a winnable election that they lost.

[MAINEiac4434]

More polls closed in Maple Ridge-Mission. NDP increased their lead there.

[Jeppe]

Advance vote usually favours NDP because older voters (not the NDP's base) shows up more to vote on election day. Grante,  the difference in early voting vs e-day voting isn't quite as pronounced here in Canada compared to America, but the NDP generally does better in advance polls.

Taking that into account, there's a chance that the NDP sweeps all 5 seats (Coquitlam, Richmond, Courtenay, False Creek, and Maple Ridge) through winning the advance votes there.

[trebor204]

Liberals leading in False Creek, 44 seats

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is beyond pathetic.

[Boston Bread]

False Creek's first advance poll strongly favours the Liberals. Bad news if it continues.
EDIT: NDP back ahead in Courtenay-Comox. Advance polling having mixed results so far.

[Cynthia]

John Horgan needs to resign if NDP somehow doesn't at least force a minority government.

[MAINEiac4434]

The Liberals just took a huge lead in False Creek. They have a majority.

[Vosem]

NDP increase lead in Maple Ridge-Mission, but Liberals have somehow snuck through in Vancouver-False Creek. Current numbers are 44-40-3; which would be a narrow majority for Clark.

EDIT: Courtenay-Comox flipped back, so we're down to 43-41-3; a minority government. NDP can still form a minority if the absentee vote for them is strong enough to carry all 4 seats that are in doubt.

[Boston Bread]

The Liberals just took a huge lead in False Creek. They have a majority.

Back down to 43, due to Courtenay-Comox

[MAINEiac4434]

NDP just retook the lead in Courtenay. only two polls left and a 160 vote lead there.

[MAINEiac4434]

Maple Ridge-Mission now looking extremely vulnerable for the NDP...less than a 40 vote lead there with three polls still out.

[MAINEiac4434]

Coquitlam finally called.

[Barnes]

A little late to the party, I know, but seeing as the Greens leader basically called Horgan a raging lunatic a few days ago, I wouldn't put much faith in them assisting an NDP minority situation.

Also, for some of our posters who might be unaware, coalitions are basically anathema to Canada (as in they don't exist except for that sh**tshow in December 2008) and the only thing that would come out of a hung parliament would be a loose confidence and supply deal which almost certainly would collapse before the end of the term.

[trebor204]

Maple Ridge-Mission all polls are counted. NDP wins by 120 votes.
Only chance for a LIB majority is Courtenay-Comax, 2 polls remain, 166 NDP vote lead.

[MAINEiac4434]

Maple Ridge-Mission finally called for the NDP. It's down to Courtenay and False Creek.