2017 British Columbia election
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Author Topic: 2017 British Columbia election  (Read 65783 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #425 on: May 10, 2017, 01:36:44 AM »

One poll in Courtenay-Comox remains. 150 vote lead for the NDP.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #426 on: May 10, 2017, 01:39:17 AM »

The Conservative vote royally screwed the BC Liberals in Courtenay.
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trebor204
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« Reply #427 on: May 10, 2017, 01:39:25 AM »

NDP wins Cout-Comax by 9 Votes!
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Jeppe
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« Reply #428 on: May 10, 2017, 01:39:55 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #429 on: May 10, 2017, 01:40:35 AM »

Wow. Crazy. I imagine the Liberals will agitate for a recount.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #430 on: May 10, 2017, 01:41:21 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
Mayne the NDP-heavy areas already voted and the rest of the riding is heavy Liberal?
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Barnes
Roy Barnes 2010
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« Reply #431 on: May 10, 2017, 01:42:47 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
Mayne the NDP-heavy areas already voted and the rest of the riding is heavy Liberal?

The CBC hasn't called that one.
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Vosem
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« Reply #432 on: May 10, 2017, 01:44:26 AM »

Nothing left but False Creek; Libs up ~400 votes with 3 polls to go. Looks like it'll be a Liberal minority, though of course absentee voting was much higher than usual this time around and we may get some surprises.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #433 on: May 10, 2017, 01:45:23 AM »

No idea why they already called Richmond-Queensborough, Libs ahead by 170 votes and there's still 11 polls left.
Mayne the NDP-heavy areas already voted and the rest of the riding is heavy Liberal?

The CBC hasn't called that one.
Huh. Global News and the Vancouver Sun both have.
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Njall
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« Reply #434 on: May 10, 2017, 01:45:52 AM »

Wow. Crazy. I imagine the Liberals will agitate for a recount.

According to the CBC there will be an automatic judicial recount
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Cynthia
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« Reply #435 on: May 10, 2017, 01:48:24 AM »

9 vote is way too close to call--probably would never happen in US
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Vosem
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« Reply #436 on: May 10, 2017, 01:49:03 AM »

Looking back at the 2013 results, even taking into account redistricting, there seems to have been a lot of churn at this election: the net is that Liberals are slightly weaker, but a rather large number of seats flipped, both NDP-->Lib and Lib-->NDP (generally, the first are more rural while the second are urban, but this rule isn't absolute). Swings in a lot of places are rather large. I wanna note the mild realignment, but considering that this is Canada and large-scale realignments happen frequently, maybe not worth noticing?
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Njall
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« Reply #437 on: May 10, 2017, 01:52:31 AM »

NDP slowly climbing in Richmond-Queensborough, but with 8 polls left, I'm not sure if it's enough
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #438 on: May 10, 2017, 01:52:41 AM »

Looking back at the 2013 results, even taking into account redistricting, there seems to have been a lot of churn at this election: the net is that Liberals are slightly weaker, but a rather large number of seats flipped, both NDP-->Lib and Lib-->NDP (generally, the first are more rural while the second are urban, but this rule isn't absolute). Swings in a lot of places are rather large. I wanna note the mild realignment, but considering that this is Canada and large-scale realignments happen frequently, maybe not worth noticing?
Sure it's worth noticing. In Ontario we've been noticing the opposite trend with the NDP declining in Toronto but gaining in rust belt-ish areas of the province. And of course this is Canada so it can all be reversed in one election.

It's not a surprise in this case; Horgan made a conscientious decision to do no campaigning in the Interior, focusing almost entirely on metro Vancouver, with one stop on the Island.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #439 on: May 10, 2017, 01:54:35 AM »

40 votes separate the Lib and Dip now. They might do it.
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Njall
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« Reply #440 on: May 10, 2017, 01:56:31 AM »

Also important to note for Courtenay-Comox: Absentee ballots may be more substantial than usual due to the presence of the military base there, and the Liberal candidate is the former base commander, so he may benefit from those absentees.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #441 on: May 10, 2017, 02:00:55 AM »

Love having my province witness this epic election! Cheesy
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #442 on: May 10, 2017, 02:05:03 AM »

Liberal ahead by 559 with one box to go in Vancouver False Creek
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Njall
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« Reply #443 on: May 10, 2017, 02:07:45 AM »

Queensboroguh lead is about 230 with two polls left - looks like it's not flipping
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trebor204
TREBOR204
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« Reply #444 on: May 10, 2017, 02:09:16 AM »

From the 2013 election, There were appox. 1600 absentee ballots in Comox Valley (2013 boundaries) , giving the NDP a slight edge. (780/712).  This does not include Special ballots or voting in a returning office.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #445 on: May 10, 2017, 02:09:50 AM »

This source has Queensborough finished with a 300 vote Liberal lead http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_Party.html

edit: it registered on CBC now
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #446 on: May 10, 2017, 02:10:17 AM »

NDP slowly climbing in Richmond-Queensborough, but with 8 polls left, I'm not sure if it's enough

Done. Liberal by 263
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #447 on: May 10, 2017, 02:12:47 AM »

Pretty amazing how close the seat count is given the large LIB vote share lead.

There were more votes counted in the safe Liberal ridings than in the other ridings at that time.
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #448 on: May 10, 2017, 02:18:59 AM »

Liberal ahead by 559 with one box to go in Vancouver False Creek

By 560 after all boxes.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #449 on: May 10, 2017, 02:20:51 AM »

Liberals could win 44 in the end due to absentee ballots from Comox. I guess it depends on if military personnel votes count as advance or absentee.
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