2017 British Columbia election

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Unless NDP leads the polls by more than 15%, I will expect a Liberal victory.

I proudly voted for John Horgan when I lived in his district. He is a much better leader for the NDP this time around. 2013 was a huge shocker to me. Hopefully polls are more accurate 2017.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Well this should heat up the election, NYT article on BC Liberals corruption.

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/01/13/world/canada/british-columbia-christy-clark.html?referer=https://www.google.ca/

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Here are the details from that new Mainstreet poll

http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/ndp-lead-post-budget-undecided-still-high/

One thing i find particularly interesting are the numbers on leader approval. Needless to say John Horgan, not having been through an election campaign yet, is still relatively unknown:

Horgan -

Favourable 26%
Unfavourable 24%
Not sure 37%
Don't know him well enough 13%

But check out Christy Clark...what absolutely damning numbers! Good thing Kathleen Wynne is around to save her from being the most hated premier in Canada!

Clark -

Favourable 21%
Unfavourable 57%
Not sure 20%
Don't know him well enough 2%

Everyone in BC basically hates her.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

^^^^

I saw this on the local news last night. Very smart for Weaver to make this an issue. Greens are already in double digits and this could bring them above 20%.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Mainstreet has a new poll with big honking sample size of over 5,000!

http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/liberals-ndp-gain-campaign-begins/

NDP 39% (up 3%)
BC Libs 35% (up 2%)
Greens -19% (unchanged)
Conservatives 7% (down 4%)

It must be very very very distressing to the BC Liberals that they are not benefiting from the inevitable collapse of the moribund BC Conservatives...but this is consistent with how previous polls showed that relatively few Conservative supporters had the Liberals as their second choice. Let's face it, its hard to imagine a BC Liberal leader who would be more repulsive to diehard small "c" conservatives than Christy Clark. She is gltzy, elitist, wears furs and is a dyed in the wool federal Liberal. If you are a rightwing populist federal Conservative type in the interior - you take one look at Christy and all you can think is "stinkeroo"!

It gets worse for the Liberals. The Green vote is very soft and if and when their vote declines as people start to vote "strategically" - for every one vote the Libs get, the NDP will get 4 or 5.

Wow NDP and Greens are tied on Vancouver island!

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The greens are surging across the province. Would love for them to prevent a majority for whoever gets reelected. We need a shakeup.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Check out this hard hitting ad by the BC NDP. It takes a sledge hammer to the BC Liberals and smashes them into a million pieces. It will be particularly effective with blue collar workers in the interior

https://www.facebook.com/bcndp/videos/10150864124154978/

Masterful ad! In this populist age of politics talking about Christy Clark's big donors is a fantastic argument. There's no way she can defend it.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Just voted Green! Meh, it's in a safe LIB riding anywho. If the NDP loses to the Liberals again they are going to be a dead party. This is a pretty winnable election for them.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Back to tied. Man what a night!!

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Love having my province witness this epic election!

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Woot! Looks like the Greens have a lot more power in government now.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Looks like the "Liberals" power will run out on Thursday.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The new speaker is Darryl Plecas who is my MLA and now he's gotten expelled from the BC Liberal party LOL.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/darryl-plecas-1.4282683

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Can the BC Liberals do anything right?