2017 British Columbia election

[Pragmatic Conservative]

New Insights West Poll November 21

BC NDP 40% (-)
BC Liberals 39% (+5)
Green 14% (-)
Conservatives 5% (-5)
Other 2% (-)

Link:http://www.insightswest.com/news/housing-still-top-of-mind-as-british-columbians-ponder-political-choices/

[Pragmatic Conservative]

CBC news 14 Ridings to watch:

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/poll-by-poll-14-races-that-could-decide-the-election-1.4066474

The interactive poll by poll maps are kind of neat, but far too many NDP held seats on this list and not enough BC Liberal held seats. It's really hard to call the BC Liberals the front runners at this point when they have trailed in 13 of the last 14 polls, and the last 11 in a row. Actually the last BC Liberal lead was in August of 2016.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

One thing I've found going through that poll is that the BC Conservatives' only age demo above 10% is the young. The NDP lead with all age demos except 65+. Greens and NDP are even on Vancouver Island - vote splitting may allow the Liberals an opportunity there.

The Green vote is not very locked in though the latest Mainstreet Research poll only had 46% Green voters as effectively locked in. I suspect as the campaign goes on the Green party begins to bleed support back to the NDP.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Speak of the devil. Another new opt-in online panel poll by Ipsos:

BC Lib: 43% (+4)
BC NDP: 41% (-3)
BC Green: 14% (+2)

Green numbers are low with Ipsos.

Care to link that to me, because I can't find that poll anywhere.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Here. http://www.cknw.com/2017/05/01/exclusive-poll-shows-bc-liberals-edging-slight-lead-after-televised-debate/?sc_ref=twitter

Thanks.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Not a poll on voting intentions, but Insights west asked voters questions about whether the three leaders held certain qualities as well as asking whether voters approved of the job the BC government is doing in certain areas.

http://www.insightswest.com/news/horgan-connecting-with-british-columbians-but-clark-ahead-on-economy/

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Justason Market Intelligence May 4th

BC Liberals 39% (+1)
NDP 34% (-3)
Green 23% (+2)
Other 4% (-)

http://www.justasonmi.com/?p=5183

[Pragmatic Conservative]

A couple of new riding polls
Courtenay-Comox
BC Liberals (I) 44%
NDP 29%
Green 27%

Sannich Norh and The Islands
NDP (I) 34%
BC Liberal 34%
Green 32%

http://www.timescolonist.com/news/local/poll-b-c-liberals-lead-in-comox-dead-heat-in-saanich-north-1.18540492

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Two more riding polls this morning
Esquimalt-Metchosin
NDP (I) 40%
BC Liberals 32%
Green 28%

Cowichan Valley
BC Liberals 37%
NDP (I) 35%
Green 24%

http://www.timescolonist.com/news/local/poll-ndp-leading-in-esquimalt-metchosin-cowichan-valley-close-1.18650467

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Recount in Courtenay-Comox increases NDP lead from 9 to 13 votes now absentee ballots are counted.

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/ed/GE-2017-05-09_Courtenay-Comox.html

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Still counting but NDP up 10481-10380 in Courtenay-Comox.

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/ed/GE-2017-05-09_Courtenay-Comox.html

Edit: That is with roughly 56% of the absentee ballots being counted.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

According to Richard Zussman this is the order of how absentee ballots are being counted the first two categories have been counted, I assume we will have to wait until close to 5 to see the final margin.

1.Section 98 Special- This would cover voting within the district at places like Hospitals.

2. Section 99 Absentee - in ED- Voters that vote in their district but not at their assigned polling place.

3. Section 100 Absentee - out of ED-Voters that voted outside of their district on election day.

4. Section 101 Absentee - advance-Voters that voted outside of their district during advanced voting.

5. Section 104 Voting in DEO office-Voters that voted at the District Electoral office.

8. Section 106 Voting by mail-Voters that voted by mail.


Edit voting results last time: http://142.34.128.33/docs/rpt/2013GE/CMX.pdf

NDP won section 98,99,100, and 106 last time, Liberals won section 104 last time and section 101 was a Liberal and NDP tie.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

NDP win Courtenay-Comox by 189 votes.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Christy Clark plus new cabinet to be sworn in this afternoon.  Will be interesting to see how Clark handles newly elected star candidates (Ross, Johal and Redies) and whether Sam Sullivan gets included.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

New BC Liberal shadow cabinet revealed  and BC Legislature will return on September 8th.

 http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/british-columbia/ndp-throne-speech-sept-8-bc-1.4234967