2017 British Columbia election (user search)
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Author Topic: 2017 British Columbia election  (Read 66610 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« on: March 03, 2017, 02:17:48 PM »

For all you IVR/robo poll fans... you will love today's new BC opinion poll results today by Forum Research:

BC NDP: 39.7%
BC Lib: 28.5%
BC Con: 15%
BC Green: 13.6%

(extrapolated)


According to too close to call, this translates to:

NDP: 58
LIB: 27
GRN: 2
CON: 0
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2017, 10:29:29 PM »

One thing I've found going through that poll is that the BC Conservatives' only age demo above 10% is the young. The NDP lead with all age demos except 65+. Greens and NDP are even on Vancouver Island - vote splitting may allow the Liberals an opportunity there.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: May 09, 2017, 07:53:02 PM »

I have Global News' running in the background:

http://globalnews.ca/news/3432025/live-bc-election-2017-real-time-results/
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: May 09, 2017, 09:59:24 PM »

And here...we...go...
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #4 on: May 09, 2017, 10:27:46 PM »

Results coming in fairly quickly now, mostly from safe ridings for both the Liberals and NDP. Both are leading in 8 ridings each and none are particularly close.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #5 on: May 09, 2017, 10:33:47 PM »

Greens already screwing the NDP on Vancouver Island.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #6 on: May 09, 2017, 10:41:12 PM »

30-22-2 right now. Greens are harming Dippers in Greater Vancouver and Vancouver Island.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #7 on: May 09, 2017, 10:43:26 PM »

Kelowna-Lake County the first riding called, for the Liberals.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #8 on: May 09, 2017, 10:45:46 PM »

The Green candidate in Columbia River-Revelstoke looks like he's 12 years old.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #9 on: May 09, 2017, 10:47:04 PM »

NDP takes the lead in Saanich North and the Islands.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #10 on: May 09, 2017, 10:52:08 PM »

40-34-1. Greens have the lead in Saanich.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2017, 10:52:55 PM »

Vancouver-Quilchena called for the Liberals.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #12 on: May 09, 2017, 10:56:23 PM »

Powell River-Sunshine Coast an NDP victory.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #13 on: May 09, 2017, 11:04:06 PM »

This election will come down to a handful of marginals.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #14 on: May 09, 2017, 11:07:03 PM »

NDP just took the lead in two ridings. Total is now 42-40-1 with a handful still not reporting.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #15 on: May 09, 2017, 11:11:41 PM »

Pretty amazing how close the seat count is given the large LIB vote share lead.
Liberals are running up the score in their safe ridings while somewhat underperfoming in marginals. It's 41-41-1 with one tied and three still not reporting.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #16 on: May 09, 2017, 11:15:48 PM »

NDP just took the lead. 43-42-1.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #17 on: May 09, 2017, 11:22:47 PM »

44-41-1 with no results from the sole Green-held seat.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #18 on: May 09, 2017, 11:35:55 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2017, 11:38:39 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

NDP: 43
Libs: 42
Greens: 1
And Oak Bay.

This election will come down to handful of ridings where the Greens are polling strong third place, like Courtenay-Comox and Vancouver False Creek.

Green candidate formally elected in Saanich.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #19 on: May 09, 2017, 11:36:58 PM »

NDP just took a three vote lead in Maple Ridge-Mission, pushing them up to 44 seats.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #20 on: May 09, 2017, 11:37:44 PM »

Finally getting Oak Bay in, huge lead for the Greens.

44-41-2.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #21 on: May 09, 2017, 11:41:08 PM »

Libs take the lead in Nechako Lakes, pushing them up to 42 seats.

The Greens will very likely hold the balance of power in the next assembly.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #22 on: May 09, 2017, 11:54:19 PM »

Liberals take the lead in Coquitlam, but it's only by 14 votes.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #23 on: May 10, 2017, 12:35:19 AM »

What happens if there is a tie? Do one of the parties do a formal coalition with the Greens? Is there a revote? Could someone pull a David Emerson and switch sides? Does Clark remain in office on inertia?
Minority Liberal government.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #24 on: May 10, 2017, 12:56:43 AM »

It's all down to Coquitlam. If the Libs hold that, they're assured government.
Logged
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