latest Betfair odds

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren has lost momentum

[Mr. Morden]

I said that was my last pre-debate update, but making another one now because Biden just passed Warren:

Up: Biden, Buttigieg
Down: Warren

Democrats
Biden 24.7
Warren 24.1
Buttigieg 18.3
Sanders 13.1
Clinton 5.7
Yang 3.6
Bloomberg 2.9
Patrick 2.2
Klobuchar 2.1
Gabbard 1.4
Harris 1.4
Booker 0.7

[Eraserhead]

Biden and Sanders are still too low and Buttigieg is WAY too high but that's to expected at the moment.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, Warren, seems to be going the way of Harris. We will see, but her polls are on the way down

[Mr. Morden]

Post-debate update:

Warren back in 1st place, though more because of Biden dropping than Warren gaining.

Up: Sanders
Down: Biden

Democrats
Warren 24.7
Biden 23.2
Buttigieg 18.6
Sanders 14.1
Clinton 6.0
Yang 3.7
Bloomberg 3.2
Klobuchar 2.2
Patrick 2.2
Harris 1.6

Republicans
Trump 78.6
Haley 7.8
Pence 7.0
Romney 4.0

[Mr. Morden]

Warren had rebounded slightly just after the debate, but since then she started dropping again, now a few points behind Biden, who’s reclaimed 1st place again:

Up: Biden, Bloomberg, Pence
Down: Warren

Democrats
Biden 24.1
Warren 21.7
Buttigieg 19.3
Sanders 13.4
Clinton 5.8
Bloomberg 4.3
Yang 3.7
Klobuchar 2.4
Harris 1.9
Patrick 1.9
Gabbard 1.2

Republicans
Trump 79.2
Pence 8.4
Haley 7.5
Romney 3.7

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 90.9
Sanders 7.2
O’Malley 1.0
Gore 0.8

Republicans
Rubio 44.1
Trump 22.6
Cruz 14.1
Bush 9.5
Carson 4.8
Christie 3.8
Huckabee 1.1
Romney 0.8
Paul 0.5
Fiorina 0.4
Kasich 0.4

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3097110#msg3097110

Romney 68.1
Gingrich 13.5
Huntsman 5.8
Paul 5.5
Perry 2.7
Cain 2.3
Bachmann 1.2
Santorum 0.9
Palin 0.3
Christie 0.2
Johnson 0.2

Twelve years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50282.msg1345830#msg1345830

Democrats
Clinton 71.5
Obama 16.9
Edwards 5.4
Gore 4.6
Richardson 0.4
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 45.0
Romney 26.2
Huckabee 8.6
McCain 7.0
Paul 6.0
Thompson 5.0
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3
Hunter 0.1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Warren surge has fizzled, just like Harris😖😖😩

[Mr. Morden]

Tucker Carlson seems to have sparked a buying spree on Michelle Obama.  She’s now up to 5.3, tied with Hillary Clinton for 6th place.

Up: Obama, Bloomberg, Harris
Down: Biden, Warren, Buttigieg, Sanders

Democrats
Biden 22.6
Warren 18.9
Buttigieg 17.4
Sanders 12.2
Bloomberg 8.1
Clinton 5.3
M. Obama 5.3
Yang 3.6
Harris 2.9
Klobuchar 1.7
Patrick 1.4

Republicans
Trump 79.2
Pence 8.4
Haley 7.8
Romney 3.7

[Mr. Morden]

Obama-mania fades, and Buttigieg surpasses Warren for 2nd place.

Up: Buttigieg
Down: Warren, Obama

Biden 22.6
Buttigieg 19.3
Warren 16.8
Sanders 12.8
Bloomberg 7.8
Clinton 5.4
Yang 3.4
Harris 2.2
Klobuchar 2.0
M. Obama 1.7
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.2
Booker 0.9

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The SF elite, behind Pelosi and LGBT has solidified itself behind the impeachment of Trump; subsequently,  as stated before, whatever surge Buttigieg has coming out of NH, is gonna be short-lived

[Mr. Morden]

Up: Buttigieg, Trump
Down: Clinton, Pence

Democrats
Biden 22.2
Buttigieg 20.5
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.4
Bloomberg 8.1
Clinton 4.5
Yang 3.7
Klobuchar 1.9
Harris 1.7
M. Obama 1.7
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.2
Booker 0.6

Republicans
Trump 81.2
Haley 7.2
Pence 6.5
Romney 3.7

Four years ago at this point:

Democrats
Clinton 90.1
Sanders 7.2
Biden 1.2
O’Malley 1.1

Republicans
Rubio 41.0
Trump 22.6
Cruz 15.4
Bush 12.8
Christie 4.3
Carson 4.0
Romney 1.4
Fiorina 1.1
Huckabee 1.1
Kasich 0.9

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3104417#msg3104417

GOP
Romney 54.9
Gingrich 27.6
Paul 5.7
Huntsman 4.9
Perry 2.1
Bachmann 1.3
Cain 1.0
Santorum 0.7

Dems
Obama 93.6
Clinton 7.0
Biden 0.7

Twelve years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50282.msg1350500#msg1350500

Democrats
Clinton 69.2
Obama 20.7
Edwards 5.1
Gore 3.8
Richardson 0.5
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 42.1
Romney 25.1
Huckabee 12.8
McCain 6.9
Paul5.7
Thompson 5.3
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3

[Gustaf]

That Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of Michelle Obama is pretty bizarre.

[DabbingSanta]

Democrats
Biden 22.2
Buttigieg 20.5
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.4
Bloomberg 8.1
Clinton 4.5
Yang 3.7
Klobuchar 1.9
Harris 1.7
M. Obama 1.7
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.2
Booker 0.6

This could be easy money for all us. Biden is vastly underrated.  Buttigieg and Warren are about right. Sanders is slightly overrated. Bloomberg is overrated. Yang, Klobuchar, and Harris all have under 1% odds IMO but it's not impossible. The rest shouldn't even be on there!

[Eraserhead]

Democrats
Biden 22.2
Buttigieg 20.5
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.4
Bloomberg 8.1
Clinton 4.5
Yang 3.7
Klobuchar 1.9
Harris 1.7
M. Obama 1.7
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.2
Booker 0.6

This could be easy money for all us. Biden is vastly underrated.  Buttigieg and Warren are about right. Sanders is slightly overrated. Bloomberg is overrated. Yang, Klobuchar, and Harris all have under 1% odds IMO but it's not impossible. The rest shouldn't even be on there!

Nah, Sanders is underrated and Buttigieg is way overrated. I do agree that Biden is very underrated.

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg breaks into double digits to win the D. nomination…

Up: Bloomberg, Clinton
Down: Biden

Democrats
Biden 21.3
Buttigieg 20.8
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.4
Bloomberg 10.0
Clinton 5.7
Yang 3.8
Klobuchar 1.9
Harris 1.7
Gabbard 1.4
M. Obama 1.4
Patrick 1.4

Republicans
Trump 81.2
Haley 7.0
Pence 6.5
Romney 3.7

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Buttigieg loses.

[Mr. Morden]

So far, Biden seems the biggest winner as Harris drops off the board.

Up: Biden
Down: Bloomberg, Harris

Democrats
Biden 23.2
Buttigieg 20.1
Warren 16.8
Sanders 13.8
Bloomberg 8.9
Clinton 5.4
Yang 3.8
Klobuchar 1.7
Gabbard 1.4
M. Obama 1.4
Patrick 1.3
Booker 0.7
Harris 0.5

Republicans
Trump 81.8
Haley 7.0
Pence 6.5
Romney 3.6

[Mr. Morden]

Biden has lost his post-Harris dropout bump….

Democrats
Biden 21.3
Buttigieg 20.1
Warren 16.3
Sanders 14.1
Bloomberg 8.8
Clinton 5.4
Yang 3.3
Klobuchar 2.1
Patrick 1.4
Gabbard 1.3
M. Obama 1.1
Booker 0.4
Abrams 0.4
Cuomo 0.3
Harris 0.3
Steyer 0.3
Bennet 0.2
Winfrery 0.2

Republicans
Trump 85.7
Haley 5.4
Pence 4.8
Romney 3.6

Four years ago today:

Democrats
Clinton 90.1
Sanders 7.2
O’Malley 1.8

Republicans
Rubio 39.4
Trump 25.4
Cruz 16.3
Bush 10.5
Christie 7.0
Carson 1.8
Romney 1.4
Huckabee 1.1
Kasich 0.7
Fiorina 0.7

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3114201#msg3114201

GOP prez. nominee

Romney 49.2
Gingrich 30.8
Huntsman 7.5
Paul 6.0
Bachmann 2.7
Perry 2.5
Santorum 0.9

Twelve years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50282.msg1357528#msg1357528

Democrats
Clinton 63.9
Obama 27.5
Edwards 4.9
Gore 2.7
Richardson 0.3
Biden 0.3
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 41.0
Romney 21.0
Huckabee 20.0
McCain 8.1
Thompson 5.0
Paul 4.8
Rice 1.4
Gingrich 0.3

[Mr. Morden]

Sanders has been gaining for the last couple of days, but just today he moved up from 4th place to 2nd….

Up: Biden, Sanders, Yang
Down: Buttigieg, Warren

Democrats
Biden 23.6
Sanders 16.8
Buttigieg 15.8
Warren 15.4
Bloomberg 8.8
Clinton 6.2
Yang 4.2
Klobuchar 1.7
M. Obama 1.4
Patrick 1.1
Gabbard 1.0
Booker 0.4
Abrams 0.4
Steyer 0.3

[Mr. Morden]

Warren rebounds back into 2nd place, though 2nd-4th remain tightly bunched.

Up: Warren, Clinton, Trump, Pence
Down: Sanders, Buttigieg, Haley

Democrats
Biden 23.6
Warren 16.3
Sanders 15.8
Buttigieg 14.9
Bloomberg 8.8
Clinton 7.2
Yang 4.0
Klobuchar 2.2
Gabbard 0.9
M. Obama 0.9
Patrick 0.9
Kerry 0.8
Booker 0.4

Republicans
Trump 87.5
Pence 6.8
Haley 4.3

Four years ago at about this time:

Democrats
Clinton 90.9
Sanders 7.0
O’Malley 1.1

Republicans
Rubio 41.5
Trump 22.2
Cruz 20.8
Bush 11.6
Christie 7.0
Huckabee 1.0
Romney 1.0
Carson 0.7
Kasich 0.5
Ryan 0.5

Eight years ago today on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg3121036#msg3121036

Romney 44.0
Gingrich 34.2
Paul 8.0
Huntsman 6.0
Perry 2.8
Bachmann 1.9
Santorum 0.9

Twelve years ago at this time on Intrade:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50282.msg1361930#msg1361930

Democrats
Clinton 60.1
Obama 34.0
Edwards 4.5
Gore 2.8
Biden 0.3
Richardson 0.2

Republicans
Giuliani 41.1
Romney 19.5
Huckabee 17.8
McCain 9.2
Paul 6.0
Thomspon 5.0
Rice 0.5
Gingrich 0.4

[Eraserhead]

Damn, that Clinton lead four years ago was nuts.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Buttigieg destroyed Warren's chances and now Buttigieg dropped back down to 9%, what a disappointment for Buttigieg 😐

[Epaminondas]

When did Obama decisively overtake Clinton in 2008? After Iowa? After South Carolina?

[Cinemark]

When did Obama decisively overtake Clinton in 2008? After Iowa? After South Carolina?

Obama overtook Clinton on betting markets right after Super-Tuesday in February. Which is also about when he started to overtake her nationally in the polling aggregates.

[Tender Branson]

Why are they still including such people as Hilldog, when most important deadlines have already passed ? CA, TX, FL, GA, NC etc.