MT-SEN 2018: #Populism wins, #ShrillNeoliberalism loses

[KingSweden]

Lean D against Zinke, Toss-Up against Fox

This. I believe Fox wants to do governor in 2020, though, when he'd easily win

[KingSweden]

With Gianforte likely to win the special election for the House, he could likely be a main contender for Governor in 2020. And with Zinke gone as the senate candidate against Tester in 2018, and no other republican set to take his place, this is likely Tim Fox's best opportunity. Wouldn't be surprised if he goes for it. Tester vs Fox would be a toss up in my opinion.

Yeah, I agree with this. IMO Fox should go for it. It will be a Tossup, but it's not as if he would have an easy time winning a gubernatorial race in 2020 either.  

If Fox doesn't run, Buttrey would also be okay. Even Scott Sales would be acceptable if the alternative is O'Neill, Stapleton or Rosendale.

RRH is really only O'Neill's pipe, talking about he would be the best candidate EVAR!!1! Is he actually not that great?

Still think Fox is the top recruit here, but I sense he'd prefer to be Gov

[KingSweden]

What is it that's so bad about O'Neill, exactly?

[KingSweden]

I'm still convinced Fox runs for (and wins) Governor in 2020

[KingSweden]

I'm still convinced Fox runs for (and wins) Governor in 2020

I think he may wait to see how next week's special election turns out. Some believe Gianforte is using the House seat as a stepping stone to run for Governor. If Gianforte wins the special election, Tim Fox may not want to challenge him in a primary and may decide running for Senate is a better bet.

Not a bad theory.

[KingSweden]

Something tells me the 2020 Governor's race just opened up.

Maybe. If Tim Fox doesn't take a run at Tester I'd still regard him as the best bet for '20 (and the best potential Governor out of the GOPers)

[KingSweden]

That's a rough name to run with.

[KingSweden]

Also:

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http://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2017/06/10/gop-senate-hopeful-makes-trip-washington/385328001/

I like both Rosendale and Olszewski, actually.

I'm liking Olszewski more and more, actually, but I wish GF steps down, and Olszewski runs for the House seat. His hometown of Kalispell would go in a western MT-01 if it gets two seats, and, as an incumbent when they split the state, he could actually hold on. Rosendale is better for Senate since he already has statewide recognition, and, nothing beats the drone ad.

Is MT still likely for a 2nd seat?

[KingSweden]

Curious how Fagg is getting out ahead of Rosendale

[KingSweden]

I noticed over the weekend that Downing has the coveted Dan Quayle endorsement

[KingSweden]

DTC said what I would say much better (and nicely) than I would have. Limo, you overreact to every news story. Two weeks ago Trump’s mission in life was to destroy Jeff Bezos. In a month (and that’s generous) he and everybody else will no longer care.

[KingSweden]

Great news for Senator Tester!

Judge boots Green Party from Montana ballot in boost to Tester

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/396303-judge-boots-green-party-from-montana-ballot-in-boost-to-tester

Nice!

[KingSweden]

Anyone want to guess what that MSU Billings poll will show? My guess is Tester +9 or something like that.

Here are Testers last two Elections

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/MT/S/01/

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/MT/senate/

Yet, Montana Polls claim Tester to win by 24. Ridiculous.

That Montana poll was universally mocked