The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Mr. Morden]

Gallup has what I think is the first post-election poll of Trump's favorability rating, showing a bounce for him (but still in the red, well behind where previous newly elected presidents have been):

http://www.gallup.com/poll/197576/trump-favorability-trails-presidents-elect.aspx

[Confused Democrat]

I'm sure his unfavorables will rise again once he starts actually governing.

[Mr. Morden]

Poll was conducted Nov. 9-13.  They have him at 82% favorable among Republicans, 39% among Indies, and 10% among Democrats.  All are improvements over the last poll done pre-election.

Here are the fav/unfav numbers of past presidents immediately after their elections, as measured by Gallup:

Obama 68/27
GW Bush 59/36
Clinton 58/35

So all were at least +23.

[KingSweden]

Poll was conducted Nov. 9-13.  They have him at 82% favorable among Republicans, 39% among Indies, and 10% among Democrats.  All are improvements over the last poll done pre-election.

Here are the fav/unfav numbers of past presidents immediately after their elections, as measured by Gallup:

Obama 68/27
GW Bush 59/36
Clinton 58/35

So all were at least +23.

He'll have a very short honeymoon

[The_Doctor]

But he's God Emperor!

[Wiz in Wis]

I think GOPers are dramatically overestimating their new superpowers. If they miscalculate and push Medicare privatization or Social Security Reform, combined with an already hyper-charged left, there's no reason to think they hold the House in 2018. They could also give a ton of cover to Ruby Red State Dems  in the Senate. 

[President Johnson]

LOL, The Donald begins his term underwater. Great job!

[KingSweden]

I think GOPers are dramatically overestimating their new superpowers. If they miscalculate and push Medicare privatization or Social Security Reform, combined with an already hyper-charged left, there's no reason to think they hold the House in 2018. They could also give a ton of cover to Ruby Red State Dems  in the Senate. 

I think Senate Rs like usual have a better read on this

[Mr. Morden]

Yougov has a new poll out too:

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/j20pkfe7a0/econToplines.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Hillary Clinton 43/52% for -9%
Donald Trump 41/53% for -12%

That’s a bit of an improvement from the pre-election #s for both candidates.

Also in the poll, they asked people who either voted 3rd party or did not vote: “If you had to choose between them, who would you have preferred to have win the election?”:

Clinton 41%
Trump 36%
no preference 23%

Other questions…

Do you think the election was rigged?
yes 20%
no 55%
not sure 25%

How good a president do you think Donald Trump will be?
excellent 17%
good 23%
fair 22%
poor 38%

How qualified is Donald Trump to be president?
very qualified 19%
somewhat qualified 22%
slightly qualified 14%
not qualified 45%

[Person Man]

Yougov has a new poll out too:

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/j20pkfe7a0/econToplines.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Hillary Clinton 43/52% for -9%
Donald Trump 41/53% for -12%

That’s a bit of an improvement from the pre-election #s for both candidates.

Also in the poll, they asked people who either voted 3rd party or did not vote: “If you had to choose between them, who would you have preferred to have win the election?”:

Clinton 41%
Trump 36%
no preference 23%

Other questions…

Do you think the election was rigged?
yes 20%
no 55%
not sure 25%

How good a president do you think Donald Trump will be?
excellent 17%
good 23%
fair 22%
poor 38%

How qualified is Donald Trump to be president?
very qualified 19%
somewhat qualified 22%
slightly qualified 14%
not qualified 45%

Almost half are open to the fact that the election was rigged.

[Phony Moderate]

Remember that Bill Clinton's favorables were in the water during Lewinsky but his approvals (different thing) were sky high.

Though it's perfectly possible that Trump could have even worse approvals than favorables.

[Deblano]

Pick Your Poison: The Election.

[politicallefty]

Yougov has a new poll out too:

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/j20pkfe7a0/econToplines.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Hillary Clinton 43/52% for -9%
Donald Trump 41/53% for -12%

That’s a bit of an improvement from the pre-election #s for both candidates.

Also interesting that those numbers are largely in line with Hillary Clinton's popular vote plurality (over 2 million votes and perhaps a 2% margin).

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

These numbers are far better than I expected them to be.

[ElectionsGuy]

I think GOPers are dramatically overestimating their new superpowers. If they miscalculate and push Medicare privatization or Social Security Reform, combined with an already hyper-charged left, there's no reason to think they hold the House in 2018. They could also give a ton of cover to Ruby Red State Dems  in the Senate. 

Trump isn't going to do any of that, and congressional R's won't be able to get it through.

[Fusionmunster]

https://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM4_26_SCALE/type/smallest/dates/20161001-20161118/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

51%
49%

I take issue with any poll adding up to 100%, but it should be stated thats:

51% - Unfavorable
49% - Favorable

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If the Democrats can't figure out how to keep Trump's ratings fairly negative, they should really just disband.

[Fusionmunster]

If the Democrats can't figure out how to keep Trump's ratings fairly negative, they should really just disband.

The American peoples views are beyond what the democratic party controls.

[GlobeSoc]

I'm not worried right now. If I am not mistaken, this is supposed to be the honeymoon bounce, so his approval ratings would go higher. I expect that his highest point will be 53 approve - 45 disapprove immediately after the inauguration, and that it will be all downhill from there.

[MT Treasurer]

https://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM4_26_SCALE/type/smallest/dates/20161001-20161118/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

51%
49%

I take issue with any poll adding up to 100%, but it should be stated thats:

51% - Unfavorable
49% - Favorable

Basically the margin by which he lost the popular vote. Not surprising.

[Devout Centrist]

https://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM4_26_SCALE/type/smallest/dates/20161001-20161118/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

51%
49%

I take issue with any poll adding up to 100%, but it should be stated thats:

51% - Unfavorable
49% - Favorable

Basically the margin by which he lost the popular vote. Not surprising.

Remember, Reuters gave Clinton positive favorables at several points in the past couple months.

[jaichind]

Poll: Trump's popularity soars after election (POLITICO/Morning Consult poll)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/donald-trump-popular-poll-231694

Went from 37/61 to 46/46

Obama went from 50/48 to 54/43

[Mr. Morden]

Poll: Trump's popularity soars after election (POLITICO/Morning Consult poll)

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/donald-trump-popular-poll-231694

Went from 37/61 to 46/46

Obama went from 50/48 to 54/43

More from that poll:

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/161108_crosstabs_POLITICO_v2_KD-2.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Pence 47/34% for +13%
Giuliani 42/34% for +8%
Paul Ryan 38/37% for +1%
Trump 46/46% for +/-0
Keith Ellison 16/16% for +/-0
Democrats in Congress 42/43% for -1%
Schumer 23/24% for -1%
Sessions 18/20% for -2%
Priebus 21/26% for -5%
Republicans in Congress 39/46% for -7%
Breitbart 16/27% for -11%
Steve Bannon 18/30% for -12%
McConnell 21/34% for -13%
Pelosi 30/45% for -15%

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: -6
Northeast: 0
South: +6
West: -7

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +8
blacks: -56
Hispanics: -28

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -5
$50-100k: +6
over $100k: 0

[President Johnson]

So there's a small chance he doesn't begin his term underwater?

[jaichind]

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/22/politics/donald-trump-presidency-poll-transition/index.html

CNN
Trump fav 47/50
Trump approval of transition 46/45