The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Ronnie]

I honestly think the first couple months of Trump's administration have set the bar so low for him that succeeding at passing even a minor piece of legislation would bring his approvals up to 45-50%.

[Virginiá]

Amazing how fast his approvals are imploding. Though, I suppose this is a natural consequence when you take office already in the hole, ratings-wise.

I'd love to know what his approval ratings will be in October 2018.

[Inmate Trump]

Amazing how fast his approvals are imploding. Though, I suppose this is a natural consequence when you take office already in the hole, ratings-wise.

I'd love to know what his approval ratings will be in October 2018.

I want to say around 30%, but we've all underestimated him before. Though of course governing is a much different dynamic than BSing your way through a campaign.

I would say he still has enough moronic support out there to keep the Democrats from gaining control of any part of Congress as well as reelecting him in 2020. That's why the those of us who are sane need to stay on top of things, never stop questioning his already many scandals, vote, and get others to vote too...maybe we can be a counter to his cult.

[heatcharger]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

[Holmes]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

Looks like he still has room to decline in NYC.

[heatcharger]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

Looks like he still has room to decline in NYC.

NY seems to be one of the few states where he has a higher favorability than approval, although that trend seems to exist more Upstate. His approval rating is:

10% Excellent
16% Good
14% Fair
57% Poor

[Holmes]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

Looks like he still has room to decline in NYC.

NY seems to be one of the few states where he has a higher favorability than approval, although that trend seems to exist more Upstate. His approval rating is:

10% Excellent
16% Good
14% Fair
57% Poor

That's rough.

I guess higher favorables makes sense considering it's his home state, though I don't think it'll matter come election time considering he splits his time between DC and Florida and Melania is costing taxpayers millions.

[Ronnie]

The religion crosstabs in that poll are fishy.  Jews like Trump more than Protestants do?  Really?

[Gass3268]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

Looks like he still has room to decline in NYC.

NY seems to be one of the few states where he has a higher favorability than approval, although that trend seems to exist more Upstate. His approval rating is:

10% Excellent
16% Good
14% Fair
57% Poor

This is how Democrats grab 3-4 House seats from NY.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Siena poll of New York:

33% Favorable
63% Unfavorable

Looks like he still has room to decline in NYC.

NY seems to be one of the few states where he has a higher favorability than approval, although that trend seems to exist more Upstate. His approval rating is:

10% Excellent
16% Good
14% Fair
57% Poor

This is how Democrats grab 3-4 House seats from NY.

Good, maybe we can replace the useless IDC Democrats as well.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Rasmussen

Total (-10)
45 (-/-)
55 (+1)

Strongly (-17)
27 (-1)
44 (-/-)

[Wiz in Wis]

The religion crosstabs in that poll are fishy.  Jews like Trump more than Protestants do?  Really?

Small N issues, no doubt.

[Wiz in Wis]

3/28 Gallup

Approve 36% (-)
Disapprove 56% (-1)

[I Won - Get Over It]

Ipsos March 23-27 vs March 18-22

All Adults, 1700 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/
45 (-1)
49 (+1)

LV, 500 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/filters/LIKELY:1
42 (-9)
51 (+6)



SurveyMonkey, March 24-27 vs March 17-24 https://blog.electiontracking.surveymonkey.com/2017/03/28/exploring-trumps-approval-dip/

All Adults
42 (-/-)
57 (+2)

RV
42 (-2)
57 (+1)

[Ronnie]

Virginia poll:

Approve: 37%
Disapprove: 59%

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/march%2028%20report%20final.pdf

[Tartarus Sauce]

Virginia poll:

Approve: 37%
Disapprove: 59%

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/march%2028%20report%20final.pdf

Looking at the crosstabs, that survey is skewed NOVA heavy. High education, high income, voting breakdown in the past election 50-37 Clinton when the actual vote was closer to 50-44. Trump voters are definitely being underrepresented in that poll.

On that other hand, many compelling arguments could be made that Trump voters will under-participate in the non-presidential election years and that the governor's race and 2018 elections in Virginia will be NOVA heavy, so I wouldn't necessarily write the poll off either.

[Sorenroy]

Ipsos March 23-27 vs March 18-22

All Adults, 1700 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/
45 (-1)
49 (+1)

LV, 500 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/filters/LIKELY:1
42 (-9)
51 (+6)

So, just to be clear, while all adults swung two points against Trump from their last poll, likely voters swung by 15. Am I missing something here? Basic Maths^TM means that non-likely voters swung by almost three and a half points (3.41667) for Trump to counterbalance the LV swing. WTF?

[Crumpets]

Ipsos March 23-27 vs March 18-22

All Adults, 1700 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/
45 (-1)
49 (+1)

LV, 500 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/filters/LIKELY:1
42 (-9)
51 (+6)

So, just to be clear, while all adults swung two points against Trump from their last poll, likely voters swung by 15. Am I missing something here? Basic Maths^TM means that non-likely voters swung by almost three and a half points (3.41667) for Trump to counterbalance the LV swing. WTF?

Perhaps those who despise Trump but were otherwise unlikely to vote have been determined to be LVs, thus leaving the rest of the non-LV group more Trump-friendly?

[Sorenroy]

Ipsos March 23-27 vs March 18-22

All Adults, 1700 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/
45 (-1)
49 (+1)

LV, 500 http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/filters/LIKELY:1
42 (-9)
51 (+6)

So, just to be clear, while all adults swung two points against Trump from their last poll, likely voters swung by 15. Am I missing something here? Basic Maths^TM means that non-likely voters swung by almost three and a half points (3.41667) for Trump to counterbalance the LV swing. WTF?

Perhaps those who despise Trump but were otherwise unlikely to vote have been determined to be LVs, thus leaving the rest of the non-LV group more Trump-friendly?

Even so, I can't see how that accounts for a 18 point difference between LVs and non-LVs.

[Holmes]

Well Ipsos sucks.

[Ebsy]

Well Ipsos sucks.

Yeah as always, Ipsos tracking is garbage so any criticism of its results or methodology is likely to be accurate.

[OneJ]

Come on Ispos, Trump does not have 19% of Blacks approving of him.

[Ronnie]

Come on Ispos, Trump does not have 19% of Blacks approving of him.

SurveyMonkey produced that result, not Ipsos.

[OneJ]

Come on Ispos, Trump does not have 19% of Blacks approving of him.

SurveyMonkey produced that result, not Ipsos.

Oops. SurveyMonkey then.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Virginia poll:

Approve: 37%
Disapprove: 59%

http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/march%2028%20report%20final.pdf

I love the highly educated!