2018 Gubernatorial Rankings (user search)
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Author Topic: 2018 Gubernatorial Rankings  (Read 44477 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: September 20, 2018, 08:25:46 AM »


AK: Tilt R
FL: Tilt D
IA: Tilt R
NV: Tilt D
OH: Tilt R
WI: Tilt D (considering Lean D, being cautious for now)
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2018, 01:48:37 PM »


AK: Toss-Up --> Likely R
FL: Toss-Up --> Lean D
GA: Lean R --> Toss-Up (Tilt R)
KS: Lean R --> Toss-Up (Tilt R)
SD: Safe R --> Likely R
WI: Toss-Up --> Lean D

IA: Tilt R
NV: Tilt D
OH: Tilt R
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2018, 10:44:58 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2018, 02:51:00 PM by ElectionsGuy »
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 02:50:44 PM »
CO: Lean D --> Likely D
MN: Lean D --> Likely D
NV: Lean D --> Toss-Up (tilt D)
OK: Lean R --> Likely R
RI: Lean D --> Likely D
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2018, 11:13:20 AM »


IA: Toss-Up (Tilt R) --> Toss-Up (Tilt D)
MD: Likely R --> Safe R
NH: Lean R --> Likely R
SD: Likely R --> Lean R

I'm waiting on Marquette for Wisconsin, though I'll say I'm not as confident in my Lean D rating now as I was a few weeks ago.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2018, 01:36:21 PM »
No more Toss-Ups



AK: Likely R --> Lean R
CT: Likely D --> Lean D
OH: Tilt R --> Lean D

Safe: The party/candidate is all but guaranteed to win re-election.
Likely: The party/candidate is overwhelmingly likely to win, though the opposition could still pull off an upset if everything goes right.
Lean: The party/candidate has the advantage to win, but the race is very competitive and could go either way.

Democrats: 25 (+9)
Republicans: 25 (-8)
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2018, 01:55:57 PM »
Final Rankings



NH: Likely R --> Lean R

Safe: The party/candidate is all but guaranteed to win the election.
Likely: The party/candidate is overwhelmingly likely to win, though the opposition could still pull off an upset if everything goes right.
Lean: The party/candidate has the advantage to win, but the race is very competitive and could go either way.

Democrats: 25 (+9)
Republicans: 25 (-8)
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