2018 Gubernatorial Rankings

[mcmikk]

My ratings:

My actual prediction:

[mcmikk]

My ratings as of 7/23/18:



Lotta changes in this one it seems.

AZ: Likely R --> Lean R
IA: Lean R --> Tossup
GA: Likely R --> Lean R
SC: Safe R --> Likely R
TN: Safe R --> Likely R
PA: Likely D --> Safe D
MD: Lean R --> Likely R
RI: Safe D --> Lean D

[mcmikk]

Updated rankings(as of 8/30/2018):



Changes:

AZ: Lean R --> Tossup
KS: Lean R --> Tossup
OK: Likely R --> Lean R
GA: Lean R --> Tossup
OR: Safe D --> Likely D
ME: Lean D --> Tossup

[mcmikk]

My Predictions -

Safe R: MD, NH, AL, SD, SC, AR, MA, NE
Likely R: ID,  TX, VT, KS, AZ, TN
Lean R: OH, IA, WI, NV, FL
Tossup: ME, MN
Lean D: OR, MI
Likely D: IL
Safe D: CA

Conclusion: I guarentee you that polls will show Walker and Reynolds leading in Wisconsin and Iowa. The Democrats are over-optimistic they're going to win WI -  state that voted for a GOP governor three times by a landslide. Guess what? He ain't beatable! As for Iowa, that state is done for Dems.

A red tsunami is looming!

Wait, was hofoid banned?

[mcmikk]

New ratings as of 9/28/2018:



Changes:

AK: Tossup --> Lean R
MI: Lean D --> Likely D
SD: Safe R --> Likely R

[mcmikk]

Ratings as of 10/21/2018:



I don't think I ever posted it here, but I had AK as Likely R for a brief period of time, but it moves back to Lean R with Walker out.

Other changes:

Arizona: Tossup --> Lean R
Maine: Tossup --> Lean D

[mcmikk]

Final prediction for Governors' races. D+10.