2020 Democratic Nomination Poll (November 2016)

[Senator Cris]

I've listed all potential candidates per Wikipedia plus other Senators/Governors not included.

[7,052,770]

I picked Heinrich, but I'd be fine with most any of those.

[Orser67]

Harris is the strongest on paper, imo. I could see her on a ticket with a white Midwestern governor elected in 2018

[Eraserhead]

Bernie Sanders

[LLR]

I picked Harris, but we really have no idea

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Cory Booker narrowly beats Bernie Sanders.

Democrats aren't falling for that again.

[Figueira]

People seriously think Sanders is going to run again?

[Soonerdem]

I picked Elizabeth Warren but i have like 5% confidence in that

[Kingpoleon]

These are my top ten of those listed and thus probably the least likely to win:
1. Bel Edwards
2. Wyden
3. Tester
4. Bullock
5. Heinrich
6. Manchin
7. Heitkamp
8. Casey
9. Nelson
10. Donnelly

[Suburbia]

Martin Heinrich. Young, white, good on environmental issues.

[White Trash]

1. John Bel Edwards
2. Brian Schweitzer
3. Joe Manchin
4. Claire Maccaskill
5. Harold Ford Jr.
6. Martin Heinrich

[Figueira]

1. John Bel Edwards
2. Brian Schweitzer
3. Joe Manchin
4. Claire Maccaskil
5. Harold Ford Jr.
6. Martin Heinrich

This is about who we think will win, not who we want to win.

[White Trash]

1. John Bel Edwards
2. Brian Schweitzer
3. Joe Manchin
4. Claire Maccaskill
5. Harold Ford Jr.
6. Martin Heinrich

This is about who we think will win, not who we want to win.

Maybe I'm just really optimistic

In actuality, out of those I put, I could see Schweitzer, Maccaskill or Heinrich winning.

[Figueira]

1. John Bel Edwards
2. Brian Schweitzer
3. Joe Manchin
4. Claire Maccaskill
5. Harold Ford Jr.
6. Martin Heinrich

This is about who we think will win, not who we want to win.

Maybe I'm just really optimistic

In actuality, out of those I put, I could see Schweitzer, Maccaskill or Heinrich winning.

Heinrich, maybe. The other two? I doubt it. Then again, if McCaskill actually manages to win re-election against a non-Akinesque opponent, she might be a good candidate.

[Frodo]

What does everyone think about a Kamala Harris/John Bel Edwards ticket? 

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Booker, Kanye, and Gillibrand are the frontrunners

[windjammer]

Cory Booker

[Doimper]

Where is all this Kamala Harris hype coming from? She's not even a Senator yet.

[Figueira]

Where is all this Kamala Harris hype coming from? She's not even a Senator yet.

Neither was Obama in 2004.

[Tintrlvr]

What does everyone think about a Kamala Harris/John Bel Edwards ticket?  

That would be... bizarre. Can't imagine Edwards on a national Democratic ticket. If you're looking for a centrist white male governor, someone like Bullock is more likely.

[Tintrlvr]

1. John Bel Edwards
2. Brian Schweitzer
3. Joe Manchin
4. Claire Maccaskill
5. Harold Ford Jr.
6. Martin Heinrich

This is about who we think will win, not who we want to win.

Maybe I'm just really optimistic

In actuality, out of those I put, I could see Schweitzer, Maccaskill or Heinrich winning.

Heinrich, maybe. The other two? I doubt it. Then again, if McCaskill actually manages to win re-election against a non-Akinesque opponent, she might be a good candidate.

Schweitzer has a better shot at winning the nomination than Heinrich, IMO.

Only in the sense that neither has any real chance of winning the nomination.

Schweitzer would have had a strong chance 20 years ago. Not today. Heinrich is a good fit for the modern party but is also not nearly interesting enough to break out. O'Malley 2.0.

[Mr. Morden]

Where is all this Kamala Harris hype coming from? She's not even a Senator yet.

Neither was Obama in 2004.

Has she done anything to indicate presidential ambition?  Booker visited with early primary state delegations at the DNC this year, for example, which is a major hint that he has presidential ambitions.  And Warren already has something of a national following, and led the first 2020 Dem. primary poll we got.  So I'd put both of them ahead of Harris in a ranking of "most likely 2020 nominee", for example.

[Mr. Morden]

And I really don't get how anyone can vote Schweitzer in this.  Schweitzer as "most likely" to win the nomination?  Were you paying attention to the stuff he was saying in the leadup to the 2016 race?

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

And I really don't get how anyone can vote Schweitzer in this.  Schweitzer as "most likely" to win the nomination?  Were you paying attention to the stuff he was saying in the leadup to the 2016 race?

The hero we needed, not the one we deserved.

[Tintrlvr]

Where is all this Kamala Harris hype coming from? She's not even a Senator yet.

Neither was Obama in 2004.

Has she done anything to indicate presidential ambition?  Booker visited with early primary state delegations at the DNC this year, for example, which is a major hint that he has presidential ambitions.  And Warren already has something of a national following, and led the first 2020 Dem. primary poll we got.  So I'd put both of them ahead of Harris in a ranking of "most likely 2020 nominee", for example.

I don't recall Obama doing anything like that in 2004, either, so this point seems to be neither here nor there. Booker clearly has presidential ambitions, but so did Tom Vilsack. That doesn't mean much in terms of winning the nomination.