The State of New Hampshire
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Author Topic: The State of New Hampshire  (Read 1077 times)
Gabagool102
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« on: November 25, 2016, 11:43:11 AM »

Donald J. Trump lost the state by less than 3,000 votes. He campaigned in the state, but not as much as he did in FL, PA and NC obviously because there is only 4 EV. Is there a chance that the 'Don' will get a YUGE win in NH in 2020?
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mencken
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« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2016, 11:47:17 AM »

The problem is that New Hampshire is the electoral equivalent of Bir Tawil: it only mattered in the highly improbable scenario that Nevada voted Republican but Colorado and the infamous WI/PA/MI triad voted Democratic.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2016, 03:09:07 PM »

If the Democrats nominate someone like Harris, Castro or Booker.. sure, he could win it. With Sanders or Warren though? No chance.

Maine is a better bet than NH to vote Republican anyway.
Well, at least you're improving.  You no longer see NH as a solid blue state apart from 1984-style landslides.

(BTW, I agree with you in principle, ESPECIALLY if the nominee is The Bern.)
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #3 on: November 25, 2016, 03:10:57 PM »

If the Democrats nominate someone like Harris, Castro or Booker.. sure, he could win it. With Sanders or Warren though? No chance.

Maine is a better bet than NH to vote Republican anyway.
Well, at least you're improving.  You no longer see NH as a solid blue state apart from 1984-style landslides.

(BTW, I agree with you in principle, ESPECIALLY if the nominee is The Bern.)


Yea, NH is Safe D with Bernie.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #4 on: November 25, 2016, 03:14:06 PM »

One interesting fact is New Hampshire has trended R for three elections now.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #5 on: November 25, 2016, 03:34:13 PM »

It seems like the Democratic base is slowly shifting from the rural northern/western parts of the state down to the urban centers in the south/southeast.     

NH really isn't the kind of state you can say is trending quickly to either party.   There are growing/shrinking voter groups for both parties.    I think it will stay competitive for the forseeable future.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2016, 11:22:51 AM »

If the Democrats nominate someone like Harris, Castro or Booker.. sure, he could win it. With Sanders or Warren though? No chance.

Maine is a better bet than NH to vote Republican anyway.
Well, at least you're improving.  You no longer see NH as a solid blue state apart from 1984-style landslides.

Well, Clinton doing so poorly in NH was by far the most shocking election result for me. The state was basically tailor-made for her and I thought she was more popular among NH females. She should have won NH by 10 points or more. Climbing Maggie also underperformed significantly.
I honestly think if the Pussy Tapes weren't released, Trump and Ayotte would have won NH.
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sg0508
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« Reply #7 on: November 26, 2016, 12:06:48 PM »

NH is socially still moderate/conservative.  The Trump quotes about women may have hurt him there just enough to make a difference.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #8 on: November 27, 2016, 04:55:44 PM »

If the Democrats nominate someone like Harris, Castro or Booker.. sure, he could win it. With Sanders or Warren though? No chance.

Maine is a better bet than NH to vote Republican anyway.
Well, at least you're improving.  You no longer see NH as a solid blue state apart from 1984-style landslides.

(BTW, I agree with you in principle, ESPECIALLY if the nominee is The Bern.)


Tbf, he was only being ironic to  with the people who thought it was a pure swing state like in 2000 again.
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Pericles
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« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2016, 05:12:52 PM »

New Hampshire was only decided by a 0.37% margin for Clinton. It was never a safe state and certainly is not now. W Bush won it in 2000, and Trump could easily win, or lose, it in 2020.
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