OH: More Money Stuff (August)

[ShadowRocket]

I had a question for the OH experts. If Trump does fire Cordray in the distant future, when is the absolute latest that Cordray could go home and run for governor in that scenario and still be a viable candidate?

[ShadowRocket]

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.

I'm surprised that it would have to be that soon. As the Dem field seems to be relatively lackluster at the moment, perhaps he could afford to wait for a bit longer if it doesn't improve in the mean time?

[ShadowRocket]

Which wouldnt be a problem if we had Tim Ryan...

Well, it's an issue for TD

Time for Cordray to quit, run for Governor, and make his way to the White House.

I hope I'm wrong but, realistically, I'd say that if he's not out of the CFPB (whether by resignation or removal) by the end of June, then 1) OH's not getting Gov. Cordray in '18; & 2) your timeline is indeed screwed lol

I'm surprised that Cordray is still even around since the CFPB has been a huge target for the GOP. I know that Trump's hands are tied somewhat since he can fire him only for cause, and maybe they want to see what the DC Circuit says, but I'm still surprised that they haven't come up with some kind of excuse.

[ShadowRocket]

Politico feature on Cordray & the race

I think he should go for it. At the end of the day, Trump is going to get to name his successor at the CFPB regardless. If he misses the governor race, he'll have to wait until 2022 to have another shot at that or a Senate seat, and circumstances by then might even preclude that.

[ShadowRocket]

FWIW, the hearing for the PHH v. CFPB case before the full DC Court of Appeals is on the 24th. I'm guessing we wont hear anything on the Cordray front until after that.

[ShadowRocket]

If Cordray doesn't run, then I'm hoping that Schiavoni wins the primary. He does strike me as the strongest prospect out of the candidates actually running ATM.

[ShadowRocket]

OH Supreme Court Justice Bill O'Neill is also claiming that Cordray is planning on running:

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/07/19/richard-cordray-ohio-governor-2018-240729

[ShadowRocket]

I hope Cordray give a hard "yes" or "no" to a run soon. Ohio Dems can't afford to fall much further than they are. That's not to say Cordray is the only Dem who could win. The field seems to be fairly decent right now.

Same. If he isn't in by the end of September, then I think it will be time to give up the hope that he'll run.

[ShadowRocket]

This article is almost three weeks old, but it speculates that if Cordray has any intention of resigning so he can run for governor, he may be waiting to do so until he can sign off on a new payday lending rule:


http://www.cleveland.com/nation/index.ssf/2017/08/if_richard_cordray_resigns_to.html

[ShadowRocket]

This article is almost three weeks old, but it speculates that if Cordray has any intention of resigning so he can run for governor, he may be waiting to do so until he can sign off on a new payday lending rule:

http://www.cleveland.com/nation/index.ssf/2017/08/if_richard_cordray_resigns_to.html

That seems unlikely to happen in a week.

Agreed. At any rate, I hope we get some kind of indication of what his plans are at that Labor Day event he's speaking at.

[ShadowRocket]

I'm also really surprised Cordray's apparent pass didn't get a lot of people in here. TD made his hype on Atlas much stronger than it was IRL.

TBF, he didn't give a firm denial about running. Granted, I agree that the odds of him getting in don't look good at this point, but I thought the idea that he was going to announce yesterday was just speculation and hearsay.

[ShadowRocket]

The CFPB announced a new payday lending rule the other day: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/05/business/payday-loans-cfpb.html

I think he may finally get a clear yes or no from Cordray in the coming weeks as it had been speculated that he was waiting on signing off on this new rule before possibly leaving the CFPB to run for governor.

[ShadowRocket]

So about six months before the primary, who are do you guys think will be the nominees for their respective party?  Is a Sutton vs. DeWine match-up still the most likely based on the current trajectory?

[ShadowRocket]

And I had already given up on him running...

But I hope Cordray can ultimately pull it off. It would be great if OH had a Democratic governor for the next round of redistricting, as well as perhaps freeing up Sherrod Brown to run for president or VP in 2020 if we don't have to worry about losing his seat.

[ShadowRocket]

So it doesn't appear that any of the other Democratic candidates are going to drop out due to Cordray entering? I feel the ideal situation would be for Sutton and Whaley to switch over to the House races in OH-16 and OH-10 respectively, and for Schiavoni to join the ticket as Cordray's LG candidate.  But that probably isn't likely.

[ShadowRocket]

If Cordray is trying to team-up with one of the female candidates running for his Lt. Governor candidate, Whaley strikes me as the best one as compared to Sutton and Pillich. Though I'm not sure how likely that is to happen.