Run-off 2016 election
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 10:51:39 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Dereich)
  Run-off 2016 election		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Run-off 2016 election  (Read 1115 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,702
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 30, 2016, 10:04:27 AM »
What if the US had a run-off election when neither candidate breaks 50% of the vote? Similar to countries like France. Hillary and Trump would face each other in a nationwide contest, with all other candidates eliminated from the ballot.

I think she would win ~ 52.5% versus 47.5%.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2016, 10:44:10 AM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on November 30, 2016, 10:04:27 AM
What if the US had a run-off election when neither candidate breaks 50% of the vote? Similar to countries like France. Hillary and Trump would face each other in a nationwide contest, with all other candidates eliminated from the ballot.

I think she would win ~ 52.5% versus 47.5%.

Republicans tend to do better when it's not Election Day.  Trump wins.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2016, 08:16:59 PM »

309: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 51.9%
229: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 48.0%
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2016, 08:53:29 PM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon on November 30, 2016, 08:16:59 PM

309: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 51.9%
229: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 48.0%
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,114


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2016, 09:31:36 PM »
Is this a runoff, like a different vote being held a few days or weeks later, or just ranked preferences? Because a runoff could mean Clinton looks at the results and makes changes to her strategy, such as focusing more on the Upper Midwest.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,114


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2016, 09:53:48 PM »

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 307 EV 51.30%
Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 231 EV 48.70%
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,702
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2016, 10:06:10 AM »
Quote from: Pericles on November 30, 2016, 09:31:36 PM
Is this a runoff, like a different vote being held a few days or weeks later, or just ranked preferences? Because a runoff could mean Clinton looks at the results and makes changes to her strategy, such as focusing more on the Upper Midwest.

No, I mean a run-off one or two weeks later. Direct popular vote, no electoral college.
Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,611
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2016, 10:37:22 AM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on December 01, 2016, 10:06:10 AM
Quote from: Pericles on November 30, 2016, 09:31:36 PM
Is this a runoff, like a different vote being held a few days or weeks later, or just ranked preferences? Because a runoff could mean Clinton looks at the results and makes changes to her strategy, such as focusing more on the Upper Midwest.

No, I mean a run-off one or two weeks later. Direct popular vote, no electoral college.
Angry Trump voters would show up again, feeling such a system is "rigged" or whatever.  Trump still wins in my mind.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 01, 2016, 05:19:17 PM »
Quote from: Kingpoleon on November 30, 2016, 08:16:59 PM

309: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 51.9%
229: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 48.0%

Since I've been quoted twice, I should clarify I think NE-2 would be decided by, probably, about 15,000 votes.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 03, 2016, 05:52:21 AM »
Lower turnout would deliver the presidency to the Donald:

Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)........................61,289,736 (50.22%)
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY).......60,754,632 (49.78%)
Logged
Bones
TitanMynor
Rookie
**
Posts: 24
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 07, 2017, 07:51:19 PM »
« Edited: January 07, 2017, 07:55:33 PM by TitanMynor »
I think Hillary would probably lose again, but I think she'd do better than in the first round, as some Trump voters began to realize what they were voting for. I heard a story of a West Virginia woman who voted for Trump without knowing he'd repeal Obamacare. Those kinds of voters might possibly switch to Hillary in a second round of voting.

(Unless, of course, the election and runoff were based on popular vote, in which case she'd win twice.)
Logged
Mayflower1978
Rookie
**
Posts: 89
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 08, 2017, 02:17:20 PM »


Hillary Clinton - 379

Donald J. Trump - 159
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 12 queries.