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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  OH-SEN: Renacci Wins Weak Plurality
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Poll
Question: Who wins the Ohio U.S. Senate Race?
#1State Treasurer Josh Mandel (R)  
#2U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown (D)  
#3Other  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 171

Author Topic: OH-SEN: Renacci Wins Weak Plurality  (Read 38901 times)
THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #500 on: January 10, 2018, 11:02:25 pm »

Bad news for Dems. Renacci is a stronger candidate than Mandel.

Not really, no.

Basically everyone agreed Mandel was a horrible candidate before he dropped out. Is he now suddenly going to be retconned into a formidable titan now that he's gone to fit the Democratic narrative? Lol

No. But Renacci isn't stronger. He's not as well known, and he's not as good a fundraiser. Yes, he can "self-fund," but he seems unlikely to actually spend the money he loans himself. He spent chump change on his Gubernatorial campaign despite loaning himself $4 million.

This.

Furthermore, I'd like to point out that I for one always found Mandel a solid contender. (Even though I've also always though Sherrod was favored.) He was Trump before Trump.

Letís not get carried away, Mandel was a horrible candidate.

He wasn't great, but I am taking nothing for granted.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #501 on: January 11, 2018, 12:05:00 am »

Renacci might not be the perfect candidate but he's almost certainly a better candidate than Mandel.

It is a shame the reason why Mandel had to drop out though.
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #502 on: January 11, 2018, 12:07:30 am »

Renacci's entry will not change my Lean D rating, at least not right away. Brown will start out with a massive fundraising advantage and several months head start on campaigning for this particular race. I will of course be watching for actual polling to further clarify the state of the race.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #503 on: January 11, 2018, 12:17:38 pm »

Renacci's entry will not change my Lean D rating, at least not right away. Brown will start out with a massive fundraising advantage and several months head start on campaigning for this particular race. I will of course be watching for actual polling to further clarify the state of the race.

As of right now Iíd put Brown at 65-70% chance of being re-elected. May be more likely to rise than fall.
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jdb
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« Reply #504 on: January 11, 2018, 12:36:41 pm »

Renacci's entry will not change my Lean D rating, at least not right away. Brown will start out with a massive fundraising advantage and several months head start on campaigning for this particular race. I will of course be watching for actual polling to further clarify the state of the race.

As of right now Iíd put Brown at 65-70% chance of being re-elected. May be more likely to rise than fall.

I'd say 85-90% chance.
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #505 on: January 11, 2018, 08:17:59 pm »
« Edited: January 11, 2018, 08:21:08 pm by BuckeyeNut »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.
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jdb
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« Reply #506 on: January 11, 2018, 08:36:21 pm »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

Also heís no more of an Ohio than Hillary is an Arkansan.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #507 on: January 11, 2018, 08:39:26 pm »

I think Renacci is a better candidate than Mandel.
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Holmes
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« Reply #508 on: January 11, 2018, 08:49:08 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #509 on: January 11, 2018, 10:35:26 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.

In 2010 and 2014. Yawn. He also vastly underperformed every other statewide Republican in 2014.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #510 on: January 11, 2018, 10:42:16 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.

In 2010 and 2014. Yawn. He also vastly underperformed every other statewide Republican in 2014.

Win = Win
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IceSpear
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« Reply #511 on: January 11, 2018, 10:43:46 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.

In 2010 and 2014. Yawn. He also vastly underperformed every other statewide Republican in 2014.

Win = Win

The point is winning as a Republican in Ohio in 2010/2014 is hardly impressive. Underperforming every other statewide Republican showed his weakness as a candidate.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #512 on: January 11, 2018, 10:47:05 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.

In 2010 and 2014. Yawn. He also vastly underperformed every other statewide Republican in 2014.

Win = Win

The point is winning as a Republican in Ohio in 2010/2014 is hardly impressive. Underperforming every other statewide Republican showed his weakness as a candidate.

Not impressive? He was the best performing Republican in 2010.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #513 on: January 12, 2018, 01:24:01 am »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

I feel like nearly everyone who read his book and liked it would call themselves a moderate to conservative Democrat, I don't see him ever having a future in Republican politics.
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Young Texan
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« Reply #514 on: January 12, 2018, 09:47:25 am »

Vance wouldnít beat Brown but I think itís more likely for Renacci to beat him.
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #515 on: January 12, 2018, 02:17:36 pm »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

Also heís no more of an Ohio than Hillary is an Arkansan.

or a new yorker.
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jdb
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« Reply #516 on: January 12, 2018, 03:53:43 pm »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

Also heís no more of an Ohio than Hillary is an Arkansan.

or a new yorker.

Actually, I'd argue Hillary has a far stronger claim to being a New Yorker than Vance does to being an Ohioan at this point.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #517 on: January 19, 2018, 11:04:34 am »

Vance out.
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #518 on: January 19, 2018, 05:28:12 pm »

At least Mandel had a record of winning statewide.

In 2010 and 2014. Yawn. He also vastly underperformed every other statewide Republican in 2014.

Win = Win

The point is winning as a Republican in Ohio in 2010/2014 is hardly impressive. Underperforming every other statewide Republican showed his weakness as a candidate.

Not impressive? He was the best performing Republican in 2010.

Running against a candidate who had never run for office bigger than Columbus City Council...

It would be saying something if he was running against Cordray, who was originally elected to the position.
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #519 on: January 19, 2018, 05:34:47 pm »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

Also heís no more of an Ohio than Hillary is an Arkansan.

or a new yorker.

Actually, I'd argue Hillary has a far stronger claim to being a New Yorker than Vance does to being an Ohioan at this point.

How? Vance at least has lived in Ohio, Clinton had not lived in New York 1 minute prior to running for Senate
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Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
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« Reply #520 on: January 19, 2018, 11:37:48 pm »

Vance for Senate talk already up in flames due to 1: being anti-Trump, 2: questionable residency.

Also heís no more of an Ohio than Hillary is an Arkansan.

or a new yorker.

Actually, I'd argue Hillary has a far stronger claim to being a New Yorker than Vance does to being an Ohioan at this point.

How? Vance at least has lived in Ohio, Clinton had not lived in New York 1 minute prior to running for Senate
Actually she had lived there two months, and New Yorkers literally donít care. How long had RFK lived in New York?
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #521 on: January 30, 2018, 11:24:55 pm »

Portman's endorsed Jim Renacci, signaling his further departure from the establishment wing in Ohio.
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Castro
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« Reply #522 on: February 15, 2018, 02:37:22 pm »

Rand Paul endorses Mike Gibbons.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/964206767436480513?s=12
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #523 on: February 15, 2018, 03:31:38 pm »

Rand Paul endorses Mike Gibbons.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/964206767436480513?s=12

lolwut
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« Reply #524 on: February 15, 2018, 04:01:01 pm »

Rand Paul endorses Mike Gibbons.

https://mobile.twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/964206767436480513?s=12

lolwut

LOL
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