Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 17, 2019, 12:31:37 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  LA-University of New Orleans: Campbell = wiped out, trails by 29 points
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: LA-University of New Orleans: Campbell = wiped out, trails by 29 points  (Read 1968 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,945
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 09, 2016, 12:34:22 am »

62% John Neely Kennedy (R)
33% Foster Campbell (D)

http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/poll-shows-kennedy-with-healthy-lead-in-senate-race/366388031

http://www.uno.edu/campus-news/2016/University_of_New_Orleans_Survey_Research_Center_Releases_Poll_on_Louisiana_Senate_Runoff.aspx
Logged
RINO Tom
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2016, 12:40:08 am »

Southern Democrats are dead ... and by that, I literally mean the types of people who loved the local Democrat and would never vote for a Republican because that's what their parents taught them have almost all died.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,916
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2016, 12:40:58 am »

I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.
Logged
Jefferson and St Charles Parishes will save JBE
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,497


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2016, 12:45:02 am »

Southern Democrats are dead ... and by that, I literally mean the types of people who loved the local Democrat and would never vote for a Republican because that's what their parents taught them have almost all died.

Lol! So true! Those yellow dogs are literally almost all dead or don't vote.

To be honest, it would not shock me if Democrats pick up one or even several southern governorships in 2018. Those just operate so different from Senate Races.

 
I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

And Vitter may have well won a Senate race over Jon Bel Edwards!
Logged
Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,422
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2016, 01:22:40 am »

B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?
Logged
Tulsi "Both sides" Gabbard
Cashew
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,087
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 09, 2016, 01:49:43 am »

I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

I will have to disagree. Vitter's affairs had been out in the open for years beforehand, and besides Trump has way more baggage, so there was more at work.
Logged
Oh Jeremy Corbyn!
unempprof
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,635


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 09, 2016, 12:44:33 pm »

I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

Gubernatorial races are always more competitive than Senate or House races.
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,099
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 09, 2016, 12:59:19 pm »

I guess with this, we can officially say that all the conservative support that JBE got was "I'll vote democrat just this once because Vitter deserves to go to Hell" support, rather than any sort of permanent gain for the democratic party.

I will have to disagree. Vitter's affairs had been out in the open for years beforehand, and besides Trump has way more baggage, so there was more at work.
IIRC the prostitution was an issue in 2010, but he still won against a strong opponent because
a. It was 2010, and
b. It was a federal race.
Logged
Oh Jeremy Corbyn!
unempprof
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,635


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 09, 2016, 01:21:50 pm »

Image Link

How can anyone pick the guy on the right?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,531
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 09, 2016, 03:54:49 pm »

B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
Logged
Jefferson and St Charles Parishes will save JBE
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,497


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 11, 2016, 01:12:55 am »

B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
Yes. Democrats are doing opposite of 50 state strategy now. All they do is give up everywhere. I bet they wont even try to contest any Trump State Senate seat in 2018.

They just want to give up on everything.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,916
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 11, 2016, 01:23:12 am »

B-b-but I thought Democrats could clearly have won this race and lose because they don't target states like Louisiana!?

well i mean Republicans were the only ones who took this seriously. I mean they're flying out god damn Donald Trump and Mike Pence and spending millions here while Campbelll is left fighting for himself. And when Kennedy wins by an out-sized margin that even the pundits didn't expect, Trump and Co. will flail this as a god damn victory for the administration.

There wasn't a chance of winning this, there was a chance to at least FIGHT for once.

Quitely literally this is the inversion of the 50 state strategy - we're gonna lose EVERYWHERE.
Yes. Democrats are doing opposite of 50 state strategy now. All they do is give up everywhere. I bet they wont even try to contest any Trump State Senate seat in 2018.

They just want to give up on everything.

They are very pro-incumbent. They spent into the ground on PRYOR in 2014.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC