Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15
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  Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: How would you vote in the Oct. 15 election ?
#1
SPÖ
#2
ÖVP
#3
FPÖ
#4
Greens
#5
NEOS
#6
PILZ
#7
KPÖ+
#8
FLÖ
#9
G!LT
#10
Whites
#11
For a small regional party
#12
I'd vote invalid
#13
I'd stay home
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15  (Read 194042 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,156
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1525 on: October 15, 2017, 10:06:21 AM »
Kurz easily wins Zell am See city (my home town), with 39% (a gain of 16%).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1526 on: October 15, 2017, 10:11:39 AM »
1st projection (SORA / ORF)Sad

30.2% ÖVP
26.8% FPÖ
26.3% SPÖ
  5.3% NEOS
  4.9% Greens
  4.3% PILZ
  1.0% GILT
  0.7% KPÖ
  0.2% FLÖ
  0.2% Others

MoE = +/- 2% (this will go down over the next hours)
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Beezer
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,902


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E: 1.61, S: -2.17

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« Reply #1527 on: October 15, 2017, 10:11:44 AM »
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1528 on: October 15, 2017, 10:13:51 AM »
Results page?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1529 on: October 15, 2017, 10:14:51 AM »

If true, very good for the SPÖ compared to polling over the past couple of weeks.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #1530 on: October 15, 2017, 10:16:13 AM »
  How well do the projections take into consideration the vote by mail?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1531 on: October 15, 2017, 10:16:34 AM »
Municipal results map:

http://orf.at/wahl/nr17/#globus
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Diouf
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« Reply #1532 on: October 15, 2017, 10:17:23 AM »
Would be a very great result if this is the end result. ÖVP progresses by a lot and Kurz is safely chancellor, but FPÖ also progresses a lot, so that they will be confident in negotiations and hopefully force through actual toughenings of migration policies, and not just symbolic things or small tinkerings of welfare payments for foreigners.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1533 on: October 15, 2017, 10:17:28 AM »
OFFICIAL results page:

https://wahl17.bmi.gv.at
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
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« Reply #1534 on: October 15, 2017, 10:17:40 AM »
How accurate is this? This seems a little different from the polling.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1535 on: October 15, 2017, 10:18:41 AM »
The SPÖ gains 5% in Vorarlberg (their weakest state) !
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jaichind
Atlas Star
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United States


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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1536 on: October 15, 2017, 10:21:17 AM »
Austria General Elections ORF Projections (Table)
Sunday, October 15, 2017 11:14 AM
By Kristian Siedenburg

(Bloomberg) --
Following are first results of the general elections in Austria according to projections from ORF.

People´s party   Freedom Party   Social Democrats   Neos   Greens   Pilz
Percent   31.0%   27.6%   25.5%   5.8%   4.2%   3.2%
SOURCE: ORF television
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1537 on: October 15, 2017, 10:21:22 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:18:41 AM
The SPÖ gains 5% in Vorarlberg (their weakest state) !

However turnout down 6% if these the full results being reported right now.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1538 on: October 15, 2017, 10:21:36 AM »
I think the ÖVP will win, but the SPÖ could come in 2nd after all ...
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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E: -2.84, S: 5.22

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« Reply #1539 on: October 15, 2017, 10:21:55 AM »
These exit polls are all over the place.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1540 on: October 15, 2017, 10:22:30 AM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 15, 2017, 10:21:22 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:18:41 AM
The SPÖ gains 5% in Vorarlberg (their weakest state) !

However turnout down 6% if these the full results being reported right now.

Nope. You need to add some 17% postal ballots.
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palandio
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« Reply #1541 on: October 15, 2017, 10:22:49 AM »
Has there maybe been some kind of Bradley effect in favor of the scandal-plagued SPÖ that seems to fare better than expected?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1542 on: October 15, 2017, 10:24:32 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:22:30 AM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 15, 2017, 10:21:22 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:18:41 AM
The SPÖ gains 5% in Vorarlberg (their weakest state) !

However turnout down 6% if these the full results being reported right now.

Nope. You need to add some 17% postal ballots.

Thank you. I can't see a uncounted/counted vote tracker on the national page.
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Beezer
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E: 1.61, S: -2.17

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« Reply #1543 on: October 15, 2017, 10:26:59 AM »
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1544 on: October 15, 2017, 10:27:15 AM »
It seems former Team Stronach and BZÖ voters went 50/50 to ÖVP and FPÖ ...
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Umengus
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« Reply #1545 on: October 15, 2017, 10:31:24 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:21:36 AM
I think the ÖVP will win, but the SPÖ could come in 2nd after all ...

doubtfull
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1546 on: October 15, 2017, 10:38:14 AM »
Quote from: Umengus on October 15, 2017, 10:31:24 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:21:36 AM
I think the ÖVP will win, but the SPÖ could come in 2nd after all ...

doubtfull

Not really.

It seems they are relatively stable compared with 2013 at 27%.

Of course, a lot is still uncertain: Only 50% is counted so far, Vienna and postal ballots 0%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1547 on: October 15, 2017, 10:39:25 AM »
Early estimate of turnout: 80% (+5)
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Umengus
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« Reply #1548 on: October 15, 2017, 10:39:52 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:38:14 AM
Quote from: Umengus on October 15, 2017, 10:31:24 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 15, 2017, 10:21:36 AM
I think the ÖVP will win, but the SPÖ could come in 2nd after all ...

doubtfull

Not really.

It seems they are relatively stable compared with 2013 at 27%.

Of course, a lot is still uncertain: Only 50% is counted so far, Vienna and postal ballots 0%.

wait and see Wink
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mgop
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« Reply #1549 on: October 15, 2017, 10:42:31 AM »
steyr and graz like on different planets...
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