Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15

[TheSaint250]

So ÖVP is more to the right than FPÖ?

It’s normal for Nationalist conservative parties to be more economically left wing then the standard Conservative party. You see the same thing with trump, the National front and the AFD.

Ah ok then that makes sense. I guess for some reason I didn’t think of the FPÖ to be economically left wing.

[wxtransit]

I'm updating my turnout forecast to 79-83%, based on the reports of polling officials on Twitter.

Wow.

Are there any local TV channels that are streaming their coverage live?

[wxtransit]

And also, who do you think will win in Germany's state election today?

[Tender Branson]

I'm updating my turnout forecast to 79-83%, based on the reports of polling officials on Twitter.

Wow.

Are there any local TV channels that are streaming their coverage live?

Yes.

ORF: http://tvthek.orf.at/live/Wahl-17-Die-Hochrechnung/13934392 (refresh in ca. 1 hour)

Puls 4: https://www.puls4.com/live-551 (already live)

ServusTV: https://www.servus.com/at/tv/jetzt-bei-servus-tv (already live)

ATV: http://live.atv.at (already live)

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For the Lower Saxony state election, I think the SPD will win it (barely).

[alomas]

According to the BBC, OVP led by 31-year-old Kurz is favourite to win, while SPO and FOP are fighting for second. OVP moved to the right with quite strong anti-immigrant agenda this summer. Even in pro-EU countries, politicians realise how dangers these people can be. It still has taken a long while, looking what happened in Paris, Brussels, London, Barcelona, Tuurku or Stockholm. Unbelievable.

[Tender Branson]

Turnout in the state of Vorarlberg, which already closed at 1pm, is apparently 10% higher than in 2013.

[Tender Branson]

I am now updating my Austria-wide turnout forecast to 82-85%.

That would be a plus of 7-10%.

[Tender Branson]

Early exit polls have emerged:

[Double Carpet]

Tender, thanks for all the updates!

None of the streams are working for me.

However, I managed to get the debate streaming the other night on ORF, does that imply that the 16.30 stream will work abroad?

Thanks!

[Tender Branson]

Tender, thanks for all the updates!

None of the streams are working for me.

However, I managed to get the debate streaming the other night on ORF, does that imply that the 16.30 stream will work abroad?

Thanks!

I am pretty sure the ORF stream (which is the most important) will work abroad, once it starts at 4:30pm.

You need to re-fresh the page though.

Not sure if the other TV channels are available abroad.

[mgop]

Turnout in the state of Vorarlberg, which already closed at 1pm, is apparently 10% higher than in 2013.

damn why so early... those are the ones that wanted to join switzerland lol

[Double Carpet]

Thanks Tender!

Were the FPO to finish top (how likely?), might VdB refuse to swear in an FPO Chancellor?

Also as an observation (I follow elections etc in almost 40 countries!) I think the Kurz campaign is possibly the most presidential I've ever seen in a parliamentary election anywhere.

Do you think the Pilz party will last or will it go the way of Stronach, and what kind of future do Neos have?

Thanks in advance, looking forward to the results!

(And I love how fast Austria counts, it's one of the quickest anywhere.)

[Tender Branson]

Turnout in the state of Vorarlberg, which already closed at 1pm, is apparently 10% higher than in 2013.

damn why so early... those are the ones that wanted to join switzerland lol

Swiss polls also close at 1pm, so yeah.

[Tender Branson]

Thanks Tender!

Were the FPO to finish top (how likely?), might VdB refuse to swear in an FPO Chancellor?

Also as an observation (I follow elections etc in almost 40 countries!) I think the Kurz campaign is possibly the most presidential I've ever seen in a parliamentary election anywhere.

Do you think the Pilz party will last or will it go the way of Stronach, and what kind of future do Neos have?

Thanks in advance, looking forward to the results!

(And I love how fast Austria counts, it's one of the quickest anywhere.)

1) FPÖ could win Carinthia and Styria.

2) Maybe.

3) Pilz will have a decent chance to last longer (maybe the Greens get kicked out today ?)

4) NEOS will be around for a longer time.

[Tender Branson]

Live Election Coverage has started:

http://tvthek.orf.at/live/Wahl-17-Die-Hochrechnung/13934392

[Double Carpet]

Yes!! ORF livestream now working!!

[Hatman 🍁]

Early exit polls have emerged:

this meme needs to diaf

[Tender Branson]

15 minutes until polls close.

[TheSaint250]

I predict that the FPÖ will do slightly better than pollin due to having momentum, ÖVP will slightly go down as a result, SPÖ will go down as well, and NEOS will do somewhat better than 2013, as is a common pattern (liberals and right-wing populists simultaneously do better or do worse)

[Tender Branson]

2 minutes to go.

First projection in 15 minutes.

[Beezer]

Where's my ing Hochrechnung?!

[Oryxslayer]

Anyone got a stream that isn't region locked?

[Beezer]

I don't know why but that guy creeps me out.

[Oryxslayer]

Found one.

Oe24 had an exit poll up a moment ago with I think:

ÖVP: 31
FPO: 29
SPÖ: 25
NEOS: 6
PILZ: 4
Greens: 4

Such a situation would leave others with 1%, very low compared to everyone's predictions.

[Dutch Conservative]

ORF shows great improvement for FPO.