MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Crumpets]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

Since we already have 19 more pages of analysis on this race than the DCCC apparently does, perhaps we should shoot them an email suggesting we collectively take over as strategy chair for this election.

[Beet]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

That the Democrats aren't wasting money on a race where they're down 12 points?

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

What the naso...?

[Maxwell]

but pelosi is the worst dem leader because muh republican tv ads.

[Dr. Arch]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

This is ridiculous.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Well, there's plenty of evidence that the establishment hates progressives. David Brock's Shareblue is still bashing Bernie on a regular basis, and Hillary hacks like Whitehouse are spouting their batsh**t crazy conspiracy theories.

My comment really had nothing to do with the validity of your statement. It was just that you brought it up in the first place. It's the same reason you had that "but Hillary" label in 2016. Your commentary is often blatantly fixated on a single subject, and you are largely oblivious to that (or don't care either way). If I had to guess, the overall focus of your political thoughts is around the impure nature of the politicians that represent the views closest to your own - aka Democrats. Not that you have any obligation to focus on anything in particular, but you're practically like the IID of a police department. Your entire focus is inwards.

The party had a choice last year between someone who appealed to progressives and would have beaten Trump or someone who seemed designed to piss people like me off and lost to Trump. Trump had a worse favorable rating than Goldwater. He was not a strong candidate. So how's the establishment respond? David Brock is still running his crazy anti Bernie propaganda. Prominent Democrats are spouting off insane Russian conspiracy theories, and Tom Perez was installed at the last minute as DNC chair. As low of an opinion that I had of the Democratic party, I thought they'd have gotten a bit more of a clue from losing to Donald J Trump than they did. One can oppose both Trump and the idiots who promoted Trump because they thought their terrible candidate could easily beat him.

Ugh, do we really have to have this argument AGAIN?

[MAINEiac4434]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

#JustDemocraticPartyThings

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

That the Democrats aren't wasting money on a race where they're down 12 points?

It's Gravis.

[TheSaint250]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

That the Democrats aren't wasting money on a race where they're down 12 points?

That's no reason to discredit it.  Many people think of Gallup as a good and reliable polling firm, and 538 gave them both the same rating (B-).
It's Gravis.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

Stuff like this is probably the third or fourth biggest reason for why my avatar is orange.

[Chief Justice Keef]

I've never seen a national party organization as lazy and incompetent as the Democrats right now. What an awful state of affairs they're in.

[henster]

I feel like WV-03 could be winnable if Jenkins runs for Senate and Tomblin runs, also ME-02 with someone like Troy Jackson, IA-01, SD-AL etc. But with the party mentality they won't even be seriously contested.

[MT Treasurer]

Gravis polled the race, and has it at Gianforte +12:

Gianforte 50%
Quist 38%
Wicks 3%
Breck 2%
Uncertain 7%
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-montana-polling-3/
1,222 Voters; MoE +-2.9;  Poll Dates ? - It was released today.


Breck is apparently the Green Party candidate.  Did we miss him getting ballot access, or is Gravis polling someone not on the ballot?

There hasn't been any decision yet. It probably won't take much longer to settle this, though. As for the poll itself... thank God finally someone decided to poll this race. The GCS polls were nice, but too D-friendly. I'm also not really buying the results of this poll, honestly. I really don't see Gianforte winning by double digits. Trump's approval numbers look a bit too high, while Bullock's seem a bit too low. Montana is one of the few states where Democratic strength is often underestimated by the polls.

[McGovernForPrez]

Gravis polled the race, and has it at Gianforte +12:

Gianforte 50%
Quist 38%
Wicks 3%
Breck 2%
Uncertain 7%
http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-montana-polling-3/
1,222 Voters; MoE +-2.9;  Poll Dates ? - It was released today.


Breck is apparently the Green Party candidate.  Did we miss him getting ballot access, or is Gravis polling someone not on the ballot?

There hasn't been any decision yet. It probably won't take much longer to settle this, though. As for the poll itself... thank God finally someone decided to poll this race. The GCS polls were nice, but too D-friendly. I'm also not really buying the results of this poll, honestly. I really don't see Gianforte winning by double digits. Trump's approval numbers look a bit too high, while Bullock's seem a bit too low. Montana is one of the few states where Democratic strength is often underestimated by the polls.

I mean it's Gravis so I wouldn't take them too seriously, especially in a state with polling difficulty as great as Montana has.

[Maxwell]

I'd be surprised if Wicks only got 3%. Libertarian protest votes tend to do very well in Montana.

[Figueira]

A 12-point gap in a subpar pollster over a month before the election shouldn't be insurmountable.

[Sumner 1868]

A 12-point gap in a subpar pollster over a month before the election shouldn't be insurmountable.

Yeah, we aren't going to see real polls for a while out here.

[Virginiá]

All-mail special election might be back on the table:

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/montana/articles/2017-04-07/governor-uses-veto-pen-to-push-mail-only-voting

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[McGovernForPrez]

All-mail special election might be back on the table:

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/montana/articles/2017-04-07/governor-uses-veto-pen-to-push-mail-only-voting

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This is why Steve Bullock is the man.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

All-mail special election might be back on the table:

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/montana/articles/2017-04-07/governor-uses-veto-pen-to-push-mail-only-voting

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This is why Steve Bullock is the man.

This like, doesn't even come close to the most awesome Montana Democratic Governor Veto Hijinks.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

All-mail special election might be back on the table:

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/montana/articles/2017-04-07/governor-uses-veto-pen-to-push-mail-only-voting

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This is why Steve Bullock is the man.

This like, doesn't even come close to the most awesome Montana Democratic Governor Veto Hijinks.

Man, quit making me so nostalgic. Look what Hillary cost us

[BuckeyeNut]

release the sanders:

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Better use of his time than stumping for Periello.

[Maxwell]

hillary supporters really are the sorest primary election winners/general election losers.

[GlobeSoc]

Bernie Sanders has a high favorability rating. At worst, he would be a net neutral to the Quist campaign.

[Virginiá]

3) Endorsing and campaigning for Hillary Clinton. It made him look like a huge hypocrite, since his whole campaign was railing against her, now he supports her?

Why? Bernie could have legitimate issues with her and make a case against her in the context of him vs her, but against Trump, it's easy to see why she is still the better pick from the perspective of Democrats/many others.

imo, Trump has only continued to bolster that view since becoming president.